‘Millennial socialism’ & the swing of the political pendulum back to the left

‘Millennial socialism’ & the swing of the political pendulum back to the left – what it means for investors Key points CGrowing support for higher taxes on the rich and greater government intervention in the economy suggest median voters have shifted to the left. Support for economic rationalist policies has fallen.   The risk is that the shift away from economic rationalist policies to greater intervention will contribute to constrained medium-term investment returns.   Introduction …

Five factors for nervous investors

Five factors for nervous investors You wanted shares to buy last year but didn’t get around to it, then prices rose and so you were waiting until prices fell, but now that they have fallen you are worried they will fall further. I have good news and bad news for you. The bad news is as a ‘Nervous Investor’, you will never find a perfect time to invest, when everyone agrees markets are going to …

First dollars out of the wallet

First dollars out of the wallet Falling house prices and rising debt costs are causing financial stress for highly leveraged Australian home owners, impacting patterns of consumer spending. In light of this wallet tightening, investors should take care that their equity exposure is concentrated on those businesses capturing the first dollars out of the wallet each pay day. Where did all the wealth come from? During the upwards phase of the economic cycle, Australians took …

Rising US interest rates, trade wars, the US midterm election results

Rising US interest rates, trade wars, the US midterm election results – should investors be worried? Key points It’s still too early to be sure that last month’s pullback in shares is over but we remain of the view that it was not the start of a deep bear market and that the trend in shares remains up   Worries around US interest rates, trade wars, European politics etc are unlikely to be terminal.   …

The pullback in shares – 7 things investors need to keep in mind

The pullback in shares – 7 things investors need to keep in mind Key points   The current pullback in shares has been triggered by a range of things – but most notably worries about rising US interest rates and the US/China conflict.    Shares may still have more downside, but we are of the view that it’s just another correction.   Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are normal; in …

Boom turns to bust – falling Australian home prices.

Boom turns to bust – falling Australian home prices. How far and for how long and what’s the impact on the economy? Key points Property prices in Sydney and Melbourne are likely to see top to bottom falls of around 20% as credit conditions tighten, supply rises and a negative feedback loop from falling prices risks developing.   Other cities will perform better having not seen the boom of the last few years.   Property …

Why investors should go back to basics in a low-return world

Why investors should go back to basics in a low-return world Investors can be forgiven for wondering how they are going to continue to make money in financial markets. Cash rates globally are low and are likely to remain so, especially in Australia. This article looks at a ‘back to basics’ investment strategy suitable for a low-growth environment. The US Federal Reserve has been hiking cash rates. But despite talk of a post-QE (quantitative easing) …

Successful investing despite 115 million worries and Truth Decay – how to turn down the noise

Successful investing despite 115 million worries and Truth Decay – how to turn down the noise Key points A surge in financial information and opinion combined with our inclination to focus on negative news risks making us worse investors: more fearful, more jittery, more reactive, less reflective & more short term. This is potentially harmful to our long-term financial health.   Five ways to turn down the noise & stay focussed as an investor are: …

Should your investment journey start with property?

Should your investment journey start with property? When you’re priced out of owning a home in your neighbourhood, is property investing a good solution for growing your wealth? Will renting for the rest of your life cost more and make you more vulnerable? We talked to CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® professional Rebecca Fergusson, financial planner at Main Street Financial Solutions, about the pros and cons of property investing as a strategy for securing your financial future. …

Seven lessons from the Global Financial Crisis for investors

Seven lessons from the Global Financial Crisis for investors Key points The key lessons for investors from the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) are that: there is always a cycle; while each cycle is different, markets are pushed to extremes of valuation and sentiment; high returns come with higher risk; be sceptical of financial engineering or hard-to-understand products; avoid too much gearing or gearing of the wrong sort; the importance of proper diversification; and the importance …