Oliver’s insights:- China’s big stimulus – will it work? And what does it mean for Australia?
This week’s edition looks at China’s pivot from incremental and modest policy stimulus to providing more aggressive support for its economy.
Category: E – Insights Papers
Weekly market update 23-08-2024
This weekly market update covers the oncoming signals from Fed at Jackson Hole; payrolls revision is not a big deal in the context of other labour market data; RBA still pushing back on rate cut views; Kamala Harris momentum fading; and more.
Why super and growth assets like shares really are long term investments
Download PDF version Why super and growth assets like shares really are long term investments Key points – While growth assets like shares go through bouts of short-term underperformance versus bonds and cash, they provide superior long-term returns. So, it makes sense that superannuation has a high exposure to them. – The best approach is to simply recognise that occasional sharp falls in share markets and hence super funds are normal and that investing …
Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on – where are they now?
Download PDF version Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on – where are they now? Key points – Shares have hit a rough patch since recent highs with concerns about the growth outlook. – We remain upbeat on a 12-month view as falling inflation allows rate cuts and hopefully recession is avoided or is mild. But the risk of a further correction in shares is high. – Seven key charts worth watching …
Weekly market update 09-08-2024
This week Dr Shane Oliver discusses the worries about a US recession and how shares remain at high risk of further falls over the next few months, RBA rates on hold and seven reasons why they have peaked and more.
Recession fears and share market falls – what it means for the RBA and investors?
Recession fears and share market falls – what it means for the RBA and investors? Download PDF version Key points – The risk of recession is high. – The falls in shares and commodity prices reflect this. – Lower growth and recession would mean a high risk of the inflation rate undershooting the RBA’s inflation target. – The RBA should be considering cutting interest rates. – Share market volatility is bad news but the best …
Weekly market update 12-07-2024
Disinflation resumes in the US, RBNZ pivots = positive signs for the RBA; Australian shares hit record, year end forecast revised to 8100; surge in shipping costs less threatening than 3 yrs ago; and more.
The five reasons why the $A is likely to rise further – if recession is avoided
The five reasons why the $A is likely to rise further – if recession is avoided Key points – After a soft patch since 2021, there is good reason to expect the $A to rise into next year: it’s undervalued; interest rate differentials look likely to shift in favour of Australia; sentiment towards the $A is negative; commodities still look to have entered a new super cycle; and Australia is a long way from the …
How catch-up concessional contributions work
If you’ve had interrupted income, or just haven’t been in a position to put as much into super as you’d like, catch-up concessional contributions may provide an opportunity to top up at a more convenient time.
Oliver’s insights – strong investment returns
There has been a wall of worry for investors over the last year but as is often the case share markets climbed it. This resulted in another financial year of strong investment returns in 2023-24. But can it continue?