Weekly Market Update 12 April 2019

Weekly Market Update 12 April 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets fell slightly over the last week on global growth concerns and renewed US/Europe trade war fears. Australian shares rose though playing catch up to the previous weeks rally in global shares with energy, tech and real estate stocks being the main drivers. Bond yields were flat in the US but fell elsewhere. Oil and iron ore prices continued …

Weekly Market Update 05 April 2019

Weekly Market Update 05 April 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets pushed higher over the last week helped by more “green shoots” pointing to improving global growth this year, including Chinese business conditions PMIs & the US ISM index and a stabilisation in Eurozone composite PMIs, and more indications that the US and China are getting closer to a deal on trade (albeit with issues around enforcement and the …

Weekly Market Update 29 March 2019

Weekly Market Update 29 March 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week as global growth worries continue to impact. US and Eurozone shares rose a bit, but Japanese and Chinese shares fell in lagged response to the previous week’s falls in the US and Europe. Australian shares were little changed. Bond yields generally continued to drift lower, commodity prices were mixed with oil and copper …

Weekly Market Update 22 March 2019

Weekly Market Update 22 March 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While Eurozone shares fell slightly, other major share markets rose over the last week helped by Fed dovishness. From their December low US shares are now up 21%, global shares are up 18% and Australian shares are up 14%. The underperformance of Australian shares in the rebound since December reflects the fact that they didn’t fall as much in last year’s …

Federal budget to deliver good news

Federal budget to deliver good news The Federal budget is creeping up on us even more quickly than usual this year. The Government has brought forward the budget to April 2 to make way for the Federal election, which will most likely be held in May. So it will be similar to what we saw in 2016 when the Government had a budget, then a short time later announced the Federal election. The outlook This …

Recession risks revealed

Recession risks revealed There’s been a lot of talk about a slowdown in Australia, including talk of a recession. That talk intensified this week after December quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed growth remained very weak in the December quarter. The December quarter figures show GDP grew just 0.2 per cent and dragging annual growth in 2018 down to 2.3 per cent. Those numbers were below market expectations and below the Reserve Bank of …

‘Millennial socialism’ & the swing of the political pendulum back to the left

‘Millennial socialism’ & the swing of the political pendulum back to the left – what it means for investors Key points CGrowing support for higher taxes on the rich and greater government intervention in the economy suggest median voters have shifted to the left. Support for economic rationalist policies has fallen.   The risk is that the shift away from economic rationalist policies to greater intervention will contribute to constrained medium-term investment returns.   Introduction …

Weekly Market Update 15 March 2019

Weekly Market Update 15 March 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rose over the last week helped by benign economic data.Australian shares slipped though with consumer and financial shares down on worries about the economy. Bond yields were flat to up globally but fell in Australia with the 10-year bond yield falling back below 2% for the first time since 2016 as weakening economic data adds to expectations …

Weekly Market Update 8 March 2019

Weekly Market Update 8 March 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week US, Eurozone, Japanese and Chinese shares fell over the last week on worries about global growth, but Australian shares pushed slightly higher on increasing expectations for rate cuts offsetting, for now, the negative impact of slowing growth. Bond yields fell as the ECB announced more monetary easing. Commodity prices were mixed with metals down but oil and iron ore up. The …

Australia slides into a “per capita recession”

Australia slides into a “per capita recession” Key points Australian growth slowed even more in the December quarter. Growth may bounce back a bit this year, but the housing downturn will likely constrain it to around 2- 2.5%.   As a result, unemployment is likely to drift up and wages growth and inflation remain lower for longer.   The RBA is on track to cut rates this year and the housing downturn will likely see …