What to watch for the global economy in 2024
Tune in to AMP Chief Economist, Dr Shane Oliver share his insights and projections for the economic year ahead. Original Author: Produced by AMP and published on 28/02/2024 Source
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Sneak peek – Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#98
Episode #98: Australian home prices up on supply shortfall, but at risk from high rates The last three major cyclical upswings in home prices have required lower interest rates to be sustained. With rate cuts still a long way away, AMP’s Chief Economist Shane Oliver looks at why the risk of another leg down in prices is high next year, particularly if unemployment rises significantly, and the key indicators to watch in the months ahead. …
Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#97
Episode #97: Five constraints on medium term investment returns In the 1980s and 90s superannuation investment returns were very strong. But since 1999, nominal superannuation returns have been more constrained averaging 6.2% pa as we entered a lower return world. Five key structural trends suggest higher medium term inflation pressures and constrained economic growth than pre-pandemic. AMP’s Chief Economist, Dr. Shane Oliver looks at why this is happening as well as the implications investment returns. …
Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#95
Episode #95: The threat from higher oil and petrol prices Posing many humanitarian consequences, the war between Israel and Hamas could further lead to a surge in oil prices that will add to inflation, keep interest rates higher for longer and add to the risk of recession. AMP’s head of investment strategy and chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at the implications for investors as well as the impact of higher oil prices on the …
Bonds are Back
In this AMP Investments webinar, hear from Diana Mousina, Deputy Chief Economist, give an overview of the current macro-economic backdrop, followed by Chris Baker, Portfolio Manager, who provides a deep dive on the current fixed income environment.
Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#94
The rise in bond yields has left shares offering a low risk premium over bonds leaving them at risk of more softness. The conflict in Israel this week has added to the risk, although the threat should be minimal if Iran is not drawn in, avoiding a severe impact on oil supplies. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at the parallels with the run up in bond yields prior to the 1987 crash, current …
Simplifying Investing with Diana Mousina
Episode #93: The housing market The Australian housing market is a deeply watched sector of the economy, because it impacts everybody. This week AMP’s deputy chief economist Diana Mousina looks more closely at the housing market, including why prices have rebounded so fast, the outlook for home prices, conditions in the lending market and why the rental market is still so hot. Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances …
Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#92
Episode #92: Is another rate hike still imminent? In the last week, we saw the RBA leave interest rates on hold for the fourth month in a row, against the backdrop of increasing uncertainty around political developments in the US and geopolitical risks concerning China. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver explores the outlook for interest rates amid the further softening of the jobs market, falling jobs vacancies and rising levels of mortgage stress. Important …
Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#91
Episode #91: For what it’s worth: why what you pay for an investment is a key driver of its return. The cheaper you buy an asset the higher its prospective return might be. However, this is frequently forgotten with investors who focus on recent returns. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver explores the main issues behind starting point valuations and what current valuation signals are telling us. Read Oliver’s insights here: www.amp.com.au/insights-hub/blog…luations-look-now Important information: This …
What does ‘wealthy’ mean to you?
Demographer Bernard Salt shares his insights. To find out more visit: www.amp.com.au/whateverwealthyyouwant Original Author: Produced by AMP and published on 30/08/2023 Source