Episode #98: Australian home prices up on supply shortfall, but at risk from high rates The last three major cyclical upswings in home prices have required lower interest rates to be sustained. With rate cuts still a long way away, AMP’s Chief Economist Shane Oliver looks at why the risk of another leg down in prices is high next year, particularly if unemployment rises significantly, and the key indicators to watch in the months ahead. …
Episode #97: Five constraints on medium term investment returns In the 1980s and 90s superannuation investment returns were very strong. But since 1999, nominal superannuation returns have been more constrained averaging 6.2% pa as we entered a lower return world. Five key structural trends suggest higher medium term inflation pressures and constrained economic growth than pre-pandemic. AMP’s Chief Economist, Dr. Shane Oliver looks at why this is happening as well as the implications investment returns. …
Episode #95: The threat from higher oil and petrol prices Posing many humanitarian consequences, the war between Israel and Hamas could further lead to a surge in oil prices that will add to inflation, keep interest rates higher for longer and add to the risk of recession. AMP’s head of investment strategy and chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at the implications for investors as well as the impact of higher oil prices on the …
Episode #93: The housing market The Australian housing market is a deeply watched sector of the economy, because it impacts everybody. This week AMP’s deputy chief economist Diana Mousina looks more closely at the housing market, including why prices have rebounded so fast, the outlook for home prices, conditions in the lending market and why the rental market is still so hot. Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances …
Episode #92: Is another rate hike still imminent? In the last week, we saw the RBA leave interest rates on hold for the fourth month in a row, against the backdrop of increasing uncertainty around political developments in the US and geopolitical risks concerning China. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver explores the outlook for interest rates amid the further softening of the jobs market, falling jobs vacancies and rising levels of mortgage stress. Important …
AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver explores how uncertainty around China’s outlook is a key risk for global growth and why Australia cannot rely on the China/commodity boom indefinitely. Instead, Australia needs structural reform to boost our longer-term growth potential. Read more on this episode here: https://www.amp.com.au/insights-hub/blog/investing/olivers-insights-chinas-slowdown-and-structural-challenges Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circumstances and speak to a financial adviser …
As rapid monetary tightening means a high risk of recession continues to persist, growth has generally been more resilient than expected. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at five key reasons for why we could still avoid recession. Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circumstances and speak to a financial adviser before deciding what’s right for you. Any general …
Episode #79: Addressing Australians’ financial literacy and the gender literacy gap. While Australia remains one of the richest nations in the world, a new Econosights report from AMP’s Deputy Chief Economist, Diana Mousina highlights the need to improve financial literacy standards. This episode can be found on your favourite streaming platform, including Soundcloud, Spotify and Apple podcasts. Read more here: https://www.amp.com.au/insights-hub/blog/investing/econosights-financial-literacy-gender-gap Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into …
AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver reviews the Reserve Bank’s decision this week to hold at 4.1%. Has the RBA found a sustainable balance or is household spending power still likely to take even more of a hit in the coming months? For more info visit our insights hub: https://www.amp.com.au/insights-hub Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circumstances and speak to …
Oliver’s insights Episode #77 The Watch List 7 economic indicators for investors to pay attention to AMP’s Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at seven key indicators that investors need to keep a close eye on to understand where the investment cycle is going and what shares, in particular, are likely to do. This episode can be found on your favourite streaming platform, including Soundcloud, Spotify and Apple podcasts. For …
