Oliver’s Insights – Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better?

Oliver’s Insights – Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better? Key points The situation regarding Ukraine is at high risk of getting worse before it gets better for investment markets. The key is how much Russian energy exports are disrupted & whether NATO forces avoid the conflict. Five big picture implications are likely to be: increased geopolitical tensions; reduced globalisation; …

Oliver’s Insights – The RBA ends bond buying – but remains “patient” on rates. We expect the first rate hike in August

Oliver’s Insights – The RBA ends bond buying – but remains “patient” on rates. We expect the first rate hike in August Key points The RBA will end quantitative easing this month. While it now sees unemployment falling below 4% and higher inflation it is prepared to be “patient” for now. We expect rate hikes to commence in August. Ultimately, we see the cash rate rising to around 1.5 to 2% in the years ahead …

Oliver’s Insights – Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind

Oliver’s Insights – Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind Key points Share markets have fallen in recent weeks on the back of worries about inflation, monetary tightening, the Omicron disruption and the rising risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. it’s too early to say markets have bottomed. Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are healthy and normal; in the absence of a renewed …

Oliver’s Insights – Five Reasons To Expect A Cooling In The Australian Property Market And Falling Prices In 2023

Five reasons to expect a cooling in the Australian property market and falling prices in 2023   Key Points After a 22% rise in Australian home prices this year, they are expected to slow to 5% growth in 2022 with prices likely to fall 5-10% in 2023. The main drivers behind the slowdown are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; & a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risks on …

Oliver’s Insights – The longer-term legacy of coronavirus – nine implications for investors

The longer-term legacy of coronavirus – nine implications for investors Key points Likely key longer-term implications flowing from the coronavirus pandemic are: bigger government; increased money supply and excess saving; increased geopolitical tensions; reduced globalisation; a faster embrace of technology; a greater focus on lifestyle; and a potential post-pandemic boom. The biggest risk is of significantly higher inflation, reversing the long-term downtrend in interest rates. Introduction The magnitude of the coronavirus shock means it will …

Oliver’s Insights – US political protests, inflation and rising bond yields

US political protests, inflation and rising bond yields Key points US protests are only an issue for investment markets if they significantly impact economic activity. Global and Australian recovery will boost bond yields and there is good reason to believe that (after yet another false ending) the now nearly 40-year super cycle decline in bond yields may be at or close to over. But the end of the bond bull market is likely to be …

Oliver’s Insights – Nine common mistakes investors make

Nine common mistakes investors make Key points Many of the mistakes investors make are based on common sense rules of thumb that turn out to be wrong. As a result, it’s often wise for investors to turn common sense logic on its head. The easiest way to avoid many of these mistakes is to have a long-term investment plan that aligns your financial goals with your risk tolerance. Introduction In the confusing and often seemingly …

Shane Oliver joins Simplifying Super podcast to share his top five investment mantras

Shane Oliver joins Simplifying Super podcast to share his top five investment mantras AMP Capital’s Head of Investment Strategy and Economics, and Chief Economist, Dr Shane Oliver shares his top five investment mantras in the latest episode of AMP’s Simplifying Super* podcast. At the top of the list is make the most of the power of compound interest, which Dr Oliver says can lead to exponential growth in returns over time. “The way to make …

OCT 2020 – Global markets and macro update – the “recovery” from the coronavirus hit

ECONOMICS & MARKETS OCT 2020 – Global markets and macro update – the “recovery” from the coronavirus hit 29 Oct, 2020 By Dr Shane Oliver Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP CapitalSydney, Australia Please join Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, for an update on the conditions of the macroeconomic and share markets. Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital …

Q&AMP Live – Property market update with Shane Oliver, October 2020

AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver delivers the October 2020 economic market update with particular focus on what’s happening with property investments. Dr Oliver covers topics including ‘economic and investment outlook’, the ‘impact of coronavirus on consumer markets’ and delves into the ‘positives and negatives of the housing market’. For regular updates an insight into investing and finance, please review our insights section: https://www.amp.com.au/insights Original Author: Produced by AMP and published on 16/10/2020 Source You may also …