Oliver’s insights podcast: Episode #80: Another look at the RBA

AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver reviews the Reserve Bank’s decision this week to hold at 4.1%. Has the RBA found a sustainable balance or is household spending power still likely to take even more of a hit in the coming months? For more info visit our insights hub: https://www.amp.com.au/insights-hub Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circumstances and speak to …

Oliver’s insights – leading and lagging indicators

This article takes a look at the currently confusing economic landscape with some indicators being very strong and others very weak.

Econosights: Is the Bank of England’s recession forecast a warning for other central banks? | AMP Capital

Econosights: Is the Bank of England’s recession forecast a warning for other central banks?   Key points The Bank of England’s latest forecasts assume a bleak outlook for the UK over 2022/23 with inflation peaking at 13%, a decline in GDP growth of more than 2% and a recession lasting over a year. Australia and the US are facing some similarities to the UK economy, but the energy crisis in both countries is less severe. …

Econosights: What are inflation expectations telling us? | AMP Capital

Econosights: What are inflation expectations telling us?   Key points An increase in short-term consumer inflation expectations reflects the current high inflation environment. While consumers are assuming that inflation will remain elevated at its current level for the next 1-2 years, this is unlikely as forward-looking inflation indicators have been falling for months. Australian medium-term inflation expectations remain well anchored which indicates that the market believes in the RBA’s 2-3% inflation target and does not …

Econosights: Australian housing – impacts from the fixed rate mortgage “cliff” and risks to housing construction | AMP Capital

In this Econosights we look at some of the current issues in the housing market, including the the expiration of fixed rate mortgages and the outook for residential construction… Econosights: Australian housing – impacts from the fixed rate mortgage “cliff” and risks to housing construction Key points A large chunk of home loans that have been recently fixed at ultra-low rates will roll onto a variable mortgage rate that is 2-3 times higher. This is …

What’s next for the Australian and global economies? | AMP Capital

What’s next for the Australian and global economies?   Quick take-outs 2022 is likely to be the year COVID-19 goes from being an epidemic to endemic Expect ongoing global economic recovery – albeit with bumps along the way The spike in inflation is partly due to pandemic driven distortions to demand and supply chains but inflation will be higher over the years ahead than it was pre-COVID Expect the first RBA rate hike in late …

How to 2020-proof your finances

How to 2020-proof your finances Being in control of your finances makes you feel good, but the twists and turns of 2020 have meant this isn’t always possible. We look at some of the year’s top challenges for personal finance and how to manage them as we move into 2021. Mental, physical and financial wellbeing are interconnected – and in 2020, we’re feeling it more than ever. Research conducted by AMP has found that severe …

What does a COVID-19 Christmas look like in Australia?

What does a COVID-19 Christmas look like in Australia? Christmas 2020 will look a little different for many people, but there’s still plenty of ways to enjoy the holiday season with friends and family. With COVID-19 case numbers currently low in Australia, many of us are wondering just how close to normal our Christmas will be. Can we take an interstate holiday? Will we be able to visit friends and family? How many people can …

What a COVID vaccine means for stocks

What a COVID-19 vaccine means for stocks AMP Capital’s Australian Equities Portfolio Manager, Dermot Ryan, shares why a vaccine could be great news for stocks in 2021. In a massive healthcare breakthrough in the race to save and protect lives from COVID-19, Pfizer and Moderna have both announced some highly promising vaccine trial results. All going to plan, this should save lives and, in time, help us return to some form of normality. While it’s …

After the Bell: daily market update, June 25 | AMP Capital

ECONOMICS & MARKETS After the Bell: daily market update, June 25 ASX took a tumble today as trade and virus fears look like they’re giving markets the jitters. Portfolio strategist, Brad Creighton, explains. Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 777 591, AFSL 232497) and AMP Capital Funds Management Limited (ABN 15 159 557 721, AFSL 426455) makes no representations or …