Oliver’s insights – risks for shares
This edition of Oliver’s Insights looks at the impact of rising bond yields on shares, the risks flowing from the renewed conflict in Israel and comparisons to the run up to the 1987 share crash.
Tag: after
Weekly market update 04-08-2023
Senior Economist Diana Mousina discusses how global shares have had a pull-back after weeks of strong gains as higher yields and US ratings downgrade sour risk sentiment, RBA growth and the little change in inflation forecasts.
Oliver’s insights – rebounding investment returns
The past financial year saw a solid rebound in investment returns, after the negative returns of the 2021-22 financial year. This note reviews the past 12 months in investment markets and looks at the outlook.
Econosights: Global growth fears – are we heading into a recession? | AMP Capital
Econosights: Global growth fears – are we heading into a recession? Key points Global growth is slowing as fiscal and monetary policy are tightening. High inflation means that interest rates will be increased further from here. Recession indicators (an inversion in the US 2/10 year yield curve and the bear market in global shares) are showing increased odds of a recession in the next 12-18 months. We have lowered Australian GDP forecasts and now see …
Market Update 10 June 2022 | AMP Capital
Market Update 10 June 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Sharemarkets came under renewed downward pressure this week (after a few weeks of rallying). Themes of stagflation risks, heightened recession odds, hawkish central banks and questions as to whether inflation has peaked or not continue to be the main drivers of markets. US shares were down by 2.2% with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down by a similar am. Australian shares are 4% …
Investment markets and key developments over the past week | AMP Capital
Investment markets and key developments over the past week It was a turbulent week for markets after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.5% at its May board meeting. This outcome was expected by the market and economists and the market actually rose from comments by Fed Chair Powell that 0.75% rate rises was “not something that the committee is actively considering” which alleviated fears of an extremely aggressive short-term rate hike profile …
The US Federal Reserve starts raising interest rates – implications for Australia and investors | AMP Capital
The US Federal Reserve starts raising interest rates – implications for Australia and investors Key Points The Fed has finally joined other central banks in raising interest rates, taking the Fed Funds rate from a range of 0-0.25% to 0.25-0.5%. This was well flagged and reflects the tight US labour market and high inflation. The Fed flagged another six rate hikes this year and the start of quantitative tightening soon. First rate hikes in a …
2020-21 saw investment returns rebound – expect more modest but still good returns this financial year | AMP Capital
2020-21 saw investment returns rebound – expect more modest but still good returns this financial year Key points 2020-21 saw investment returns rebound after the coronavirus hit depressed 2019-20 returns. Key lessons for investors from 2020-21 were to: allow that share markets look ahead; timing markets is hard; don’t fight central banks; and turn down the noise. Over the next 12 months returns from a well-diversified portfolio are likely to be slower but still …
From spender to saver
From spender to saver After a bit of a wake-up call we managed to change our money habits….here’s how we did it Before I start I’d better explain our attitude towards money. We were having dinner with friends the other day and they were regaling us with tales of getting stuck into their spreadsheets on Saturday nights. It’s what they do for kicks, apparently. When they left, we were all ‘Gee, what are they like? …
Super milestones to hit in your 20s, 30s and 40s | Money & Life
Super milestones to hit in your 20s, 30s and 40s It’s never too early or too late to start planning for life after work, but where do you start? If you’re feeling unsure about how your super stacks up, take a look at our simple guide. While there’s no ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach to superannuation, it can help to understand what you need to focus on at each stage of life. Endura Private Wealth director Craig Stobbie …