Federal budget to deliver good news

Federal budget to deliver good news The Federal budget is creeping up on us even more quickly than usual this year. The Government has brought forward the budget to April 2 to make way for the Federal election, which will most likely be held in May. So it will be similar to what we saw in 2016 when the Government had a budget, then a short time later announced the Federal election. The outlook This …

Weekly Market Update 15 March 2019

Weekly Market Update 15 March 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rose over the last week helped by benign economic data.Australian shares slipped though with consumer and financial shares down on worries about the economy. Bond yields were flat to up globally but fell in Australia with the 10-year bond yield falling back below 2% for the first time since 2016 as weakening economic data adds to expectations …

Weekly Market Update 8 March 2019

Weekly Market Update 8 March 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week US, Eurozone, Japanese and Chinese shares fell over the last week on worries about global growth, but Australian shares pushed slightly higher on increasing expectations for rate cuts offsetting, for now, the negative impact of slowing growth. Bond yields fell as the ECB announced more monetary easing. Commodity prices were mixed with metals down but oil and iron ore up. The …

Weekly Market Update 22 February 2019

Weekly Market Update 22 February 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While US shares were little changed over the last week other major markets saw solid gains helped by good news on trade. This included Australian shares which got a further lift from reasonable earnings results, more talk of rate cuts and upgrades to earnings growth expectations for resources stocks on the back of higher commodity prices. Bond yields were flat to …

Weekly Market Update 15 February 2019

Weekly Market Update 15 February 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rose over the last week helped by optimism on US/China trade talks, progress towards averting a renewed partial government shutdown in the US along with okay earnings results. Australian shares were little changed having outperformed sharply in the previous. Bond yields were little changed. The oil price rose but metal and iron ore prices fell. The $A was …

Weekly Market Update 8 February 2019

Weekly Market Update 8 February 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global shares were flat to down over the past week not helped by weak economic data and trade uncertainty. Australian shares saw a strong rise though as the banks saw a Royal Commission relief rally, the prospect of RBA rate cuts provided a boost to retailers, industrial stocks and yield sensitives and miners continued to benefit from the surging iron ore …

Weekly Market Update 11 January 2019

Weekly Market Update 11 January 2019 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Since our last weekly update three weeks ago investment markets have been on a bit of a roller coaster ride, with Santa missing Christmas for markets but arriving the day after. Global shares led by the US continued to plunge into Christmas as the US saw the start of a partial government shutdown taking the decline in the US share market …

Four reasons the global economic outlook for 2019 looks positive

Four reasons the global economic outlook for 2019 looks positive Many investors have been rattled by falls in share markets and are fretting about what the new year may hold. But there are a number of reasons to suggest that after a weak 2018, 2019 will be better, and that a well-diversified portfolio should deliver reasonable returns. 1. This is a “mid-cycle” correction Firstly, while some investors fear a recession and full-blown bear market, when …

Review of 2018, outlook for 2019 – another cycle extension

Review of 2018, outlook for 2019 – another cycle extension Key points 2018 saw reasonable global economic and profit growth and still low interest rates but it has been a rough year for investors with worries about the Fed, trade wars and global growth causing volatility and poor returns.   2019 is unlikely to see the plunge into recession many fear with growth likely to stabilise supporting profit growth, the Fed is likely to undertake …

Boom turns to bust – falling Australian home prices.

Boom turns to bust – falling Australian home prices. How far and for how long and what’s the impact on the economy? Key points Property prices in Sydney and Melbourne are likely to see top to bottom falls of around 20% as credit conditions tighten, supply rises and a negative feedback loop from falling prices risks developing.   Other cities will perform better having not seen the boom of the last few years.   Property …