Conversations with Alexis George

Earlier this week I sat down with AMP’s Deputy Chief Economist Diana Mousina to hear her reflections as we close the financial year and what’s to come. Lots of people are doing it tough with rising interest rates and inflation, and the economic volatility doesn’t look like it’s going away soon. A really insightful chat with Diana where we touch on household spending, a potential recession in Australia and what the economic environment means for …

Market Update 26 August 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 26 August 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Sharemarkets were down slightly over the week reflecting 1) a pause in the rally that started in mid-June and 2) uncertainty before Fed chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole meeting on Friday morning (US time). US shares were down 0.7% so far, with the largest falls in tech, healthcare, consumer discretionary while energy and materials were up. Australian shares are down slightly …

Inflation in the 70s – baby boomer fantasy or nightmare? Why central banks must focus on getting inflation back down | AMP Capital

Inflation in the 70s – baby boomer fantasy or nightmare? Why central banks must focus on getting inflation back down   Key points The high inflation of the 1970s was bad for economies and bad for investment returns. The long-term downtrend in inflation and interest rates is likely over removing a tailwind for investment returns. But a return to sustained 1970’s levels of inflation appears unlikely. Introduction I grew up in the 1970s and it …

Econosights: Europe recession risks– implications from the war in Ukraine | AMP Capital

Econosights: Europe recession risks– implications from the war in Ukraine Key points Eurozone inflation is likely to be well over 6% per annum by mid-year from high commodity prices lifting electricity, gas and petrol costs. This will hit consumer spending. Risks of a Eurozone recession in the first half of 2022 are high. The US should avoid recession for now. The ECB appears too optimistic on the growth outlook despite the conflict in Ukraine which …

Market Update 12 March 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 12 March 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets rebounded over the last week as bond markets settled down a bit helped by central bank action and as $1.9 trillion in additional US stimulus was signed into law by President Biden. This saw the US share market rise to a record high (albeit the bond sensitive Nasdaq remains 5% down from its high), Eurozone shares rise to their highest …

After the Bell: daily market update, May 14 | AMP Capital

ECONOMICS & MARKETS After the Bell: daily market update, May 14 14 May, 2020 Markets were down in Australia today and this week, more jobs data has been released – showing a few small surprises. Senior economist Diana Mousina explains. Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 777 591, AFSL 232497) and AMP Capital Funds Management Limited (ABN 15 159 557 …

Dividend and buyback lockdown could be close for Aussie shares | AMP Capital

Dividend and buyback lockdown could be close for Aussie shares With the Australia economy partially ramping down to reduce the spread of the virus, the working capital squeeze begins for companies and households. Here, we explore what that could mean for dividends. Early signs It’s too early to say with precision, but dividends could be cut by at least a third in the next 12 months, which would lead to a larger cut to aggregate …

What we’re watching in our holdings as lockdowns are rolled out | AMP Capital

What we’re watching in our holdings as lockdowns are rolled out Large parts of the Australian economy are shutting down, and we anticipate further draconian measures are on their way. This creates a substantial knock-on effect in consumer behaviour. How companies manage through the weeks and months ahead is imperative for investors to understand. It’s our view that investors with current holdings in Australian shares, or indeed people looking to start or increase their investing …