Election

The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors | AMP Capital

The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors Key points Australian election campaigns tend to result in a period of uncertainty which have seen weak gains on average for shares followed by a bounce once it’s out of the way. Labor is not offering a significantly different economic policy agenda than the Coalition. With the exception of climate policies, it’s hard to see a significant impact on investment markets from a change in government. A bigger …

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The 2022-23 Australian Budget – a “magic election pudding” of more spending and lower deficits | AMP Capital

The 2022-23 Australian Budget – a “magic election pudding” of more spending and lower deficits Key Points A budget windfall has allowed both more spending and lower budget deficits, with the 2022-23 budget deficit expected to be $80bn (down from $99bn in December). Key measures include “cost of living” payments, a temporary cut to fuel excise, more spending on infrastructure & defence & more help for home buyers. Relying mainly on nominal economic growth to …

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What could a Biden Presidency mean for market outcomes?

What could a Biden Presidency mean for market outcomes? Market performance in the wake of the US election has been overwhelmingly positive, with Australian and US shares up 11% in November, Japanese shares up 16% and Eurozone shares up 17%. It’s somewhat of an ironic note, given Donald Trump’s fondness to cite stock market strength as indicators of his own economic success, and yet it’s gone up on news of his election loss. There are …

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Market Update 6 November 2020

Market Update 6 November 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rebounded over the last week as a resolution of the US election came into sight offering more fiscal stimulus, less trade wars and likely avoiding US tax hikes. While the rebound in shares may be surprising given that the election is not fully resolved yet, US shares typically rally after close elections as we move into the stronger …

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Biden versus Trump – the US presidential election is looming as the next big event for investors

Biden versus Trump – the US presidential election is looming as the next big event for investors Key points The US election has significant potential to add to volatility in investment markets. A Trump victory will mean more of the same and would likely initially be more positive for US than global and Australian shares. By contrast a Biden victory may add to short-term volatility but this is likely to be short lived as there …

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2019-20 saw poor returns – but it could have been much worse | AMP Capital

2019-20 saw poor returns – but it could have been much worse Key points 2019-20 saw a rough ride for investors as coronavirus hit resulting in small losses for well diversified investors. Key lessons for investors from the last financial year were to: maintain a well-diversified portfolio; timing market moves is hard; beware the crowd; turn down the noise; and don’t fight the Fed. With coronavirus risks still high, investment markets may see more short-term …

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The US presidential election – implications for investors | AMP Capital

The US presidential election – implications for investors Key points The run up to the US election on 3rd November has the potential to see increased share market volatility if it looks increasingly likely Biden will win and if Trump ramps up tensions with China (and maybe Europe) in response. However, this is likely to be short lived as there is no reason to expect a weaker economy and hence share market under a Biden …

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What the Coalition’s election victory means for Australia’s economy

What the Coalition’s election victory means for Australia’s economy With the Coalition returning to government following Saturday’s Federal election, it’s likely to be business as usual for the Australian economy. AMP Capital Senior Economist Diana Mousina says the Coalition’s focus in the near term will remain on providing tax relief to low-and-middle-income households, which was the focus of this year’s Federal budget. This tax relief represents about 0.5 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). …

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Should investors be worried about the election outcome?

Should investors be worried about the election outcome? We’re in the midst of the 2019 Federal election campaign, and some investors may be worried about the impact of the outcome on investment markets. There is definitely a clearer difference between the major parties this time, which is creating more uncertainty than in previous campaigns. But those differences aren’t as extreme in many other countries around the world. While the election result may trigger some short-term …