2021-22 saw poor investment returns – the bad news and the good | AMP Capital

2021-22 saw poor investment returns – the bad news and the good   Key points 2021-22 was a rough year for investors as high inflation, rising interest rates and recession fears impacted. Shares could still fall further as interest rates continue to rise and recession risks are high. However, inflation pressures are showing some signs of easing which may take pressure off central banks from later this year. Some key things for investors to keep …

Australia’s Achilles’ heel – high household debt and rising interest rates…it’s not as bad as it looks, but it’s still an issue | AMP Capital

Australia’s Achilles’ heel – high household debt and rising interest rates…it’s not as bad as it looks, but it’s still an issue   Key points Australian household debt has risen dramatically since the 1980s and is high compared to other countries. The rise is not as bad as it looks because it’s been matched by rising wealth and debt servicing problems are low. However, this will likely change as interest rates rise further & if …

Econosights: Implications from Australia’s energy “crisis” | AMP Capital

Econosights: Implications from Australia’s energy “crisis” Key points Australian electricity and gas price increases will impact most consumers from 1 July 2022. We expect the increase in energy prices to add 1 percentage points to headline inflation. We now see headline inflation peaking at 7% in the September quarter and trimmed mean inflation peaking at 5.5% in the December quarter. There are no changes to our expectations for the cash rate from the lift in …

Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices | AMP Capital

Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices Key Points Oil prices have spiked on the anticipation and now reality of restrictions on Russian oil supply from the war in Ukraine. This is driving a sharp rise in petrol prices which will hit household spending power. Fortunately, there is an offset in Australia from the boost to national income from higher energy prices and commodity prices generally and scope for the Federal Government …

Oliver’s Insights – US political protests, inflation and rising bond yields

US political protests, inflation and rising bond yields Key points US protests are only an issue for investment markets if they significantly impact economic activity. Global and Australian recovery will boost bond yields and there is good reason to believe that (after yet another false ending) the now nearly 40-year super cycle decline in bond yields may be at or close to over. But the end of the bond bull market is likely to be …

Rising bond yields and the end of the super cycle bull market in bonds | AMP Capital

Rising bond yields and the end of the super cycle bull market in bonds Key Points It’s normal for bond yields to rise in economic recoveries but it’s looking increasingly likely that the nearly 40-year super cycle decline in bond yields is over. This will remove a key tailwind for investment returns over the decade ahead but as we have seen this year bond yields are unlikely to go up in a straight line. Introduction …

Millennials and money: what does the future hold? | Money & Life

Millennials and money: what does the future hold? With the rising cost of housing, an aging population, climate change and now a pandemic falling squarely on the shoulders of Australia’s millennials, how is this generation faring financially? The first millennials (born between 1981 and 1996) are turning 40 this year. Still, despite more than twenty years in the workforce, it seems their financial wellbeing isn’t guaranteed. A Commonwealth Bank study has found that almost two thirds (61 …

Coronavirus continues to cause havoc globally and in Australia – but here are five reasons for optimism | AMP Capital

Coronavirus continues to cause havoc globally and in Australia – but here are five reasons for optimism Key points The news on coronavirus has been bleak again lately – with rising cases globally & the ongoing NSW lockdown. However, there are five reasons for optimism: lockdowns still work against Delta (eg, in SA & Victoria); vaccines are working; once lockdowns end economic activity rebounds quickly; the threat posed by Delta will keep fiscal & monetary …

Market Update 30 April | AMP Capital

Market Update 30 April   Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with US shares rising to new record highs helped by good economic data, strong earnings and more stimulus and Chinese shares rising but European and Japanese shares fell. Australian shares also fell back slightly as the local market continues to work off technically overbought conditions after its early April surge. Weakness in retailers, …

Market Update 20 November 2020

Market Update 20 November 2020   Investment markets and key developments over the past week While the US S&P 500 fell slightly over the last week on the back of rising new coronavirus cases and tightening restrictions in the US, other major global share markets rose helped by good vaccine news. Australian shares continued to recover with hopes that quick action will limit a covid outbreak in South Australia and as economic data continued to surprise …