Oliver’s insights – Medium Term Returns

Since 1999 nominal returns have been more constrained averaging 6.2% pa as we entered a lower return world with real returns averaging 3.6% pa. The odds are that returns are likely to be even more constrained over the next 5 to 10 years. This article looks at why.

Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#95

Episode #95: The threat from higher oil and petrol prices Posing many humanitarian consequences, the war between Israel and Hamas could further lead to a surge in oil prices that will add to inflation, keep interest rates higher for longer and add to the risk of recession. AMP’s head of investment strategy and chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at the implications for investors as well as the impact of higher oil prices on the …

Oliver’s insights – risks for shares

This edition of Oliver’s Insights looks at the impact of rising bond yields on shares, the risks flowing from the renewed conflict in Israel and comparisons to the run up to the 1987 share crash.

Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#92

Episode #92: Is another rate hike still imminent? In the last week, we saw the RBA leave interest rates on hold for the fourth month in a row, against the backdrop of increasing uncertainty around political developments in the US and geopolitical risks concerning China. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver explores the outlook for interest rates amid the further softening of the jobs market, falling jobs vacancies and rising levels of mortgage stress. Important …

Oliver’s insights Podcast: Ep#91

Episode #91: For what it’s worth: why what you pay for an investment is a key driver of its return. The cheaper you buy an asset the higher its prospective return might be. However, this is frequently forgotten with investors who focus on recent returns. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver explores the main issues behind starting point valuations and what current valuation signals are telling us. Read Oliver’s insights here: www.amp.com.au/insights-hub/blog…luations-look-now Important information: This …

Oliver’s insights – optimism as an investor

It seems that the worry list for investors has become more threatening and confusing. However, to succeed, it makes sense to err on the side of cautious optimism: otherwise, there is no point in investing; growth assets like shares have trended up over the long term; and trying to get the timing right of the 2 or 3 years out of 10 when they fall can be very hard.

What does Bernard Salt’s research say about housing affordability?

Demographer Bernard Salt shares his insights. To find out more visit www.amp.com.au/whateverwealthyyouwant Original Author: Produced by AMP and published on 30/08/2023 Source

Oliver’s insights – China’s slowdown and structural challenges

The article looks at the current concerns about the Chinese economic outlook and how Australia can’t rely on the China/commodity boom indefinitely.

Oliver’s insights – goldilocks versus recession

Recession versus “goldilocks” – five reasons why we could still avoid
recession

Oliver’s insights podcast: Episode #81: Have we dodged the recession bullet?

As rapid monetary tightening means a high risk of recession continues to persist, growth has generally been more resilient than expected. AMP’s chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at five key reasons for why we could still avoid recession. Important information: This podcast is general in nature and hasn’t taken your circumstances into account. It’s important you consider your personal circumstances and speak to a financial adviser before deciding what’s right for you. Any general …