E – Insights Papers

The threat of higher oil and petrol prices flowing from the war in Israel

Download PDF version The threat of higher oil and petrol prices flowing from the war in Israel Key points – The war in Israel has added to the upside risks to oil prices and downside risks to shares in the near term. – If Iran stays out of the conflict & a major supply disruption is avoided the impact on shares should ultimately be minimal. – If alternatively, oil prices do have a renewed surge …

FinancialPartners 26/10/2023 21/11/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Financial Snapshot / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Markets & Investments / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning and / flowing / from / higher / In / Israel / of / Oil / Petrol / prices / The / threat / war

Oliver’s insights – Medium Term Returns

Since 1999 nominal returns have been more constrained averaging 6.2% pa as we entered a lower return world with real returns averaging 3.6% pa. The odds are that returns are likely to be even more constrained over the next 5 to 10 years. This article looks at why.

FinancialPartners 25/10/2023 25/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning 1999 / averaging / been / constrained / entered / Have / insights / medium / more / nominal / Oliver’s / returns / since / Term

Econosights – geopolitics

Geopolitical events tend to create volatility in financial markets and as a result, investors have become more interested in geopolitical risks over the past few years. We look at the impact of geopolitics on financial markets in this edition of Econosights.

FinancialPartners 23/10/2023 23/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning Econosights / Events / geopolitical / Geopolitics / horrible / Introduction The / Israel / Palestine / recent / reminder / that

Weekly market update 20-10-2023

The new highs in bond yields are putting increasing pressure on share market valuations; the conflict in Israel presents a dilemma for central banks; the high risk of another RBA rate hike, which will add to recession risk; and more.

FinancialPartners 20/10/2023 20/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning Australian Australian / Banks Banks / developments Global / developments Global developments Global / economic economic / Events Events / fell / Global Global / implications implications / Investment / Investment Investment / Investment markets Investment markets / key developments key developments / last / Major global economic events and implications Major global economic events and implications / Major global economic events Major global economic events / markets / markets markets / Outlook for investment markets Outlook for investment markets / outlook outlook / over / problems problems / reflecting reflecting / share / share share / volatile volatile / week / week week / What to watch What to watch / worries

Oliver’s insights – oil and petrol prices

The war in Israel is terrible from a humanitarian perspective. From an economic and investment perspective the concern is that it will lead to a surge in oil prices that will add to inflation, keep interest rates higher for longer and add to the risk of recession.

FinancialPartners 18/10/2023 18/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning economic / from / humanitarian / Introduction The / Investment / Israel / Perspective / terrible

Econosights – wages breakout

Australia’s labour market has held up better than expected, despite the biggest interest rate hiking cycle since the late 1980s. Recently released data on newly lodged Enterprise Bargaining Agreements are showing a spike in wages growth which are increasing concerns that a wages breakout will threaten the inflation outlook.

FinancialPartners 16/10/2023 13/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - ESG Wrap (Econosights) / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning better / biggest / breakout / despite / Econosights / Econosights - wages breakout / expected / held / Interest / Introduction Australia’s / labour / Market / than / wages

Weekly market update 13-10-2023

This week Dr Shane Oliver analyses where we have seen the bottom in shares; US September inflation will keep the Fed on edge; the impacts of the Israeli war & petrol prices; upside wage growth risks in Australia; and more.

FinancialPartners 13/10/2023 13/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning 13-10-2023 / analyses / Australian Australian / Banks Banks / bottom / developments Global developments Global / economic economic / Events Events / Global Global / Have / implications implications / Investment Investment / Investment markets Investment markets / key developments key developments / Major global economic events and implications Major global economic events and implications / Major global economic events Major global economic events / Market / markets markets / Oliver / Outlook for investment markets Outlook for investment markets / outlook outlook / problems problems / reflecting reflecting / seen / Shane / share share / Shares / this / update / volatile volatile / week / week week / Weekly / What to watch What to watch / Where

Econosights – Australia and the Chinese economy

It is commonly accepted that Australia is highly dependent on the Chinese economy because of demand for Australian mineral resources and agriculture. Does this mean that the recent weakness in the Chinese economy will also weigh down on Australian economic growth?

FinancialPartners 11/10/2023 06/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - ESG Wrap (Econosights) / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / FP - Financial Planning accepted / and / Australia / because / Chinese / commonly / dependent / economy / Econosights / highly / Introduction It / that / The

Oliver’s insights – risks for shares

This edition of Oliver’s Insights looks at the impact of rising bond yields on shares, the risks flowing from the renewed conflict in Israel and comparisons to the run up to the 1987 share crash.

FinancialPartners 10/10/2023 10/10/2023 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning after / career / crashed / fell / for / fourth / insights / Introduction In / Market / Oliver’s / risks / share / Shares / Year

Weekly market update 06-10-2023

Global share market fell again over the last week; investor sentiment has fallen sharply; concerning signs in RBA Financial Stability Review; slowing consumer spending in Australia; and more.