The US economy – does the flattening yield curve indicate recession is imminent?

The US economy – does the flattening yield curve indicate recession is imminent? Key points If you are worried about a major bear market, the US economy is the key to watch. While traditional measures of the US yield curve have flattened sending warning signs about future growth, it has …

Global trade wars could escalate

Global trade wars could escalate AMP Capital Chief Economist Shane Oliver has warned that the global trade war could escalate, triggering further short-term investment volatility, but will ultimately be resolved through a negotiated settlement. Oliver says the trade war issue is going to be with us for some time to …

Weekly Market Update 13 July 2018

Weekly Market Update 13 July 2018  Investment markets and key developments over the past week There was plenty of volatility this week as equities initially got hit following more detail from the US around additional tariffs on Chinese imports. The announcement actually contained nothing new, as Trump said in late June that the …

EOFY super returns: how have markets fared?

EOFY super returns: how have markets fared? The last financial year has been a strong period for super fund portfolios. Equity markets posted solid gains both in Australia and offshore, up 13.7% and 15.4% respectively. Returns were also positive across other asset classes such as direct property and infrastructure, and …

Weekly Market Update 6 July 2018

  Weekly Market Update 6 July 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Trade war fears continued to cause nervousness over the last week, weighing on Chinese, Japanese and Asian shares generally but US and Eurozone shares rose partly on hopes for a resolution but also helped …

2017-18 saw strong returns for diversified investors – but there’s a few storm clouds around

2017-18 saw strong returns for diversified investors – but there’s a few storm clouds around Key points 2017-18 saw strong returns for diversified investors, but it was a story of two halves with strong December half returns but more volatility in the past 6 months. Key lessons for investors from …

Weekly Market Update 29 June 2018

Weekly Market Update 29 June 2018  Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw geopolitical concerns around trade, and particularly the US-China relationship, continue to dominate investment markets. This saw most share markets fall, with the Chinese share market falling particularly sharply, but the Australian share …

Should the RBA raise rates to prepare households for higher global rates?

Should the RBA raise rates to prepare households for higher global rates? Key Points The RBA should avoid calls to raise interest rates prematurely just to prepare households for higher global rates. Such a move would be Iike shooting yourself in the foot in order to practice going to the …

Weekly Market Update 22 June 2018

Weekly Market Update 22 June 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw geopolitics continue to cause gyrations in markets with political tensions around immigration in Germany and Trump upping the ante on trade with China. This saw most major share markets fall, particularly …