Oliver’s insights – house prices
Dr Shane Oliver looks at the outlook for Australian property prices, particuarly given the bounce in prices over the last month or so.
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Weekly Market Update with Shane Oliver
shares push higher; more signs of central banks slowing (excepting RBNZ); US recession risk; Covid in Aust & China; watch US payrolls & Aust CPI; Viva La Vida
Econosights: Have we reached peak inflation? | AMP Capital
Econosights: Have we reached peak inflation? Key points A peak in inflation (in annual terms) has likely been reached in the US while Australia is lagging behind and is likely to see a peak in December 2022. Extremely high European energy prices means Euro inflation will increase further and may not peak until 2023. But, inflation is unlikely to be headed back to its pre-Covid levels of ~2% per annum or less and we expect …
National property prices fall for the first time since the pandemic – expect a 10-15% top to bottom fall | AMP Capital
National property prices fall for the first time since the pandemic – expect a 10-15% top to bottom fall Key points Australian home prices fell 0.1% in May, their first decline since the pandemic. The main drivers behind the downturn are: poor affordability with prices up nearly 29% over 21 months; rising mortgage rates; a rotation in spending away from housing; and a decline in home buyer confidence. We continue to expect a 10-15% fall …
Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices | AMP Capital
Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices Key Points Oil prices have spiked on the anticipation and now reality of restrictions on Russian oil supply from the war in Ukraine. This is driving a sharp rise in petrol prices which will hit household spending power. Fortunately, there is an offset in Australia from the boost to national income from higher energy prices and commodity prices generally and scope for the Federal Government …
Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares | AMP Capital
Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares Key Points Shares have had a good rebound but could still fall further in the short term as risks remain high around monetary tightening and geopolitical tensions. However, a deep bear market is unlikely as US, global and Australian recessions are unlikely to be imminent. Introduction While shares have had a nice rebound from their January lows helped in part by some good earnings news – reversing …
Comfort spending in the land down under – what we buy and why
Comfort spending in the land down under – what we buy and why A year ago, takeaway food was number one on Australia’s comfort-spending list. If habitual purchases like this are still taking their toll, here are some tips for 2022. Over a 12-month period, Australians forked out a whopping $37 billion (and then some) on comfort spending1. You know, the things you might buy to pass the time or make yourself feel better. If …
Is hydrogen the silver bullet that organisations are leaning on? | AMP Capital
Is hydrogen the silver bullet that organisations are leaning on? Can renewable hydrogen reduce emissions and help solve climate change? As the dangers associated with climate change become more widely understood and accepted, the fight to save the planet and its people has intensified. As investors, we believe that stopping climate change will aid economic growth – as such we strive to understand how the companies we invest in can not only manage these …
Five ways to make yourself more employable in 2021
Five ways to make yourself more employable in 2021 If you’re among those who lost their job or missed out on work opportunities last year due to COVID-19, here’s what you can do to improve your employment prospects in 2021. For many people, career plans were put on ice last year, as the world grappled with the impact of COVID-19. The fallout was widespread, with job losses felt across industries as diverse as retail, hospitality …
Tips for parents who became the bank of mum and dad this year
Tips for parents who became the bank of mum and dad this year Aussie parents have coughed up more than $26 million to help their adult kids since COVID-19 hit our shores – and one in five is at financial risk from doing so. Parents helping their adult kids financially isn’t an unfamiliar concept in this country, but figures reveal mums and dads have forked out approximately $26.8 million since the outbreak of COVID-19 in …