National property prices fall for the first time since the pandemic – expect a 10-15% top to bottom fall | AMP Capital

National property prices fall for the first time since the pandemic – expect a 10-15% top to bottom fall Key points Australian home prices fell 0.1% in May, their first decline since the pandemic. The main drivers behind the downturn are: poor affordability with prices up nearly 29% over 21 months; rising mortgage rates; a rotation in spending away from housing; and a decline in home buyer confidence. We continue to expect a 10-15% fall …

Econosights: Four reasons to expect a softer US economy in 2022 | AMP Capital

Econosights: Four reasons to expect a softer US economy in 2022 Key points The US economy is facing numerous headwinds in 2022 which will slow US economic growth. Inflation is too high, interest rates are going to rise, the value of the Fed’s balance sheet will fall and fiscal “thrust” has turned negative. These factors are also leading to a peak in earnings growth. We expect lower equity returns in the US market in 2022 …

Econosights: The impact of Covid-19 on the Australian labour market | AMP Capital

Econosights: The impact of Covid-19 on the Australian labour market Key points Most industries are feeling some negative impact from the coronavirus disruption via reduced employee hours, wage cuts, stood down workers or permanent staff reductions. On our estimates, around 41% of jobs are at a high risk of lower work hours, being stood down or terminated. However, the Federal Government’s well designed JobKeeper wage subsidy scheme should see most of these employees kept in …