Oliver’s insights – home ownership
This note looks at the decline in Australia’s home ownership rate since the mid-1960s and what has driven it.
Tag: peak
Econosights: Have we reached peak inflation? | AMP Capital
Econosights: Have we reached peak inflation? Key points A peak in inflation (in annual terms) has likely been reached in the US while Australia is lagging behind and is likely to see a peak in December 2022. Extremely high European energy prices means Euro inflation will increase further and may not peak until 2023. But, inflation is unlikely to be headed back to its pre-Covid levels of ~2% per annum or less and we expect …
Five reasons why the RBA cash rate is likely to peak (or should peak) with a 2 in front of it rather than a 3 (or more) | AMP Capital
Five reasons why the RBA cash rate is likely to peak (or should peak) with a 2 in front of it rather than a 3 (or more) Key points The RBA has hiked the cash rate by another 0.5% taking it to 1.85% and signalling more hikes ahead. We see the cash rate peaking around 2.6% which is at the low end of market and economists’ expectations. Market & consensus expectations for rates to rise …
The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment | AMP Capital
The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment Key points The Government now expects the Federal budget deficit to peak at $161bn this financial year (down from $214bn in October’s Budget) and fall to $107bn in 2021-22. The windfall to the budget from stronger growth is being spent on extra stimulus. Return to budget surplus looks more than a decade away. Key measures include more spending …
What signposts can we watch to be confident shares have bottomed? | AMP Capital
What signposts can we watch to be confident shares have bottomed? Key points While shares have rallied 15-20% from their March low and may have started a bottoming process, it’s still too early to say with confidence we have seen the low for this bear market. Key signposts to watch for are: signs that the virus can soon be contained (here the evidence is starting to look better); monetary & fiscal stimulus to minimise collateral …
Assessing companies as peak COVID-19 panic approaches | AMP Capital
Assessing companies as peak COVID-19 panic approaches As markets head towards peak panic with the COVID-19 pandemic, it’s important to critically assess which of your moves are based on a temporary versus long-term environment – remembering always that we believe fortune favours investors who can hang tight when fear takes over. The state of play As we move into the thick of the COVID-19 outbreak globally, we are closely monitoring the duration and depth of …