Weekly market update 17-11-2023
Shares up in the US, Eurozone and Japan but not in China; inflation is continuing to fall about as quickly as it went up; Australian wages & jobs are proving to be not strong enough for another RBA hike; and more.
Tag: China
Econosights: China – lockdowns, policy stimulus and regulatory burdens | AMP Capital
Econosights: China – lockdowns, policy stimulus and regulatory burdens Key points There are reasons to be optimistic on China: lockdowns are easing which will help to abate supply-chain related inflation, policy stimulus measures have significantly ramped up and more can be done and geopolitical tensions have room to improve with the change of government in Australia and potential roll-back of US tariffs before the November mid-term election. Chinese shares have been hit hard in recent …
Econosights: Impacts to Australia from Chinese trade restrictions | AMP Capital
Econosights: Impacts to Australia from Chinese trade restrictions Key points The total value of Australian exports to China impacted by trade disputes (which started in 2019) is $23bn (4.5% of total exports or 1% of GDP). The impact to the Australian economy from Chinese trade bans has been mild because the value of affected exports is low and as most sectors have been able to find alternative export markets. Coal, beef, copper ore, cotton, …
China’s growth slowdown and regulatory crackdown – what does it mean for China’s growth outlook? | AMP Capital
China’s growth slowdown and regulatory crackdown – what does it mean for China’s growth outlook? Key Points China is seeing a regulatory crackdown on tech companies, the property sector and inequality aimed at supporting its middle class. The shift to “bigger government” likely has further to run. Chinese economic growth is likely to be soft this half but policy easing and maybe a pause in some regulatory moves should allow a rebound next year. This …
After the Bell: daily market update, July 17 | AMP Capital
ECONOMICS & MARKETS After the Bell: daily market update, July 17 17 Jul, 2020 ASX was slightly up today, China has recorded some solid economic data, and COVID-19 cases continue to rise in Victoria. Portfolio strategist Brad Creighton recaps the week that was. Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 777 591, AFSL 232497) and AMP Capital Funds Management Limited (ABN …
Why a ‘revenge buying’ ramp up is one to watch for investors | AMP Capital
Why a ‘revenge buying’ ramp up is one to watch for investors China was the first country into the pandemic and out of it, so its patterns can be indicative of what’s to come for the rest of the world. Early indications of an uplift in consumer spending is good news in this sense, as pent up demand finds its outlet. What is ‘revenge buying’? The term ‘revenge buying’ was originally used to describe the …
China’s economy is pretty stable – but what about high debt levels and other risks?
China’s economy is pretty stable – but what about high debt levels and other risks? Introduction It seems there is constant hand wringing about the risks around the Chinese economy with the common concerns being around unbalanced growth, debt, the property market, the exchange rate and capital flows and a “hard landing”. This angst is understandable to some degree. Rapid growth as China has seen brings questions about its sustainability. And China is now the …
US China trade war fears – Q & A
US China trade war fears – Q & A Key points President Trump’s actions on trade are mainly aimed at achieving better access for US exports to China and better treatment of US intellectual property by China. They are not primarily aimed at traditional US allies, reducing the risk of a global trade war. So far there is only a “phoney trade war” between the US and China as major tariffs are only “proposed”. Signs …
Share market volatility – Trump and trade war risks
Share market volatility – Trump and trade war risks Key points Worries about the Fed, trade wars (the risk of which has been significantly exaggerated) and President Trump generally have increased the risk around the global outlook but are unlikely to drive a major bear market. The key issue is whether the US is about to enter a recession and our assessment remains that a US recession is not imminent. The key for investors is …
China’s consumers swapping Christian Dior for campuses and kangaroos
China’s consumers swapping Christian Dior for campuses and kangaroos Big-ticket acquisitions of Australian resources, office towers and luxury homes by Chinese corporates and billionaires are grabbing headlines. However, it’s the country’s middle class that is powering a spending shift set to benefit Australia longer term, says AMP Capital Chief Economist and Head of Investment Strategy Shane Oliver. “Chinese consumers are showing signs of shifting their focus from status-linked luxury goods like a Christian Dior handbag …