The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors | AMP Capital

The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors Key points Australian election campaigns tend to result in a period of uncertainty which have seen weak gains on average for shares followed by a bounce once it’s out of the way. Labor is not offering a significantly different economic policy agenda than the Coalition. With the exception of climate policies, it’s hard to see a significant impact on investment markets from a change in government. A bigger …

Market Update 22 April 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 22 April 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with solid gains initially, helped by strong US earnings results, but a resumption of interest rate concerns weighing later in the week. Eurozone shares rose, US shares were basically flat but with bond sensitive tech stocks weighing and Japanese and Chinese shares fell. Australian shares almost made it to a record high but got …

Australian housing slowdown Q&A – What impact will higher interest rates have? How far will prices fall? | AMP Capital

Australian housing slowdown Q&A – What impact will higher interest rates have? How far will prices fall? Key Points Australian home prices are likely to fall by 10% to 15% into 2024 primarily as a result of poor affordability and rising interest rates. The negative wealth effect from falling home prices should help limit how much the RBA raises rates. A change in Government is unlikely to significantly affect the outlook for home prices, but …

Market Update 8 April 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 8 April 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets fell over the last week mainly on the back of hawkish central banks and ever rising bond yields. Australian shares also fell slightly with strength in utilities and energy stocks offset by weakness in retailers, IT and materials. Bond yields rose sharply, and oil, metal and iron ore prices fell. While the $A briefly made it above $US0.76 it …

Market Update 1 April 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 1 April 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week It was a mixed week for markets in terms of the economic data and news flow. US equities started the week strong, but are still down by 0.3% over the week (and ~6% below January highs), European shares had a good rebound up by 0.9% (but are still 11% below January levels), Japanese shares were 1.8% lower, Chinese shares continued to …

The 2022-23 Australian Budget – a “magic election pudding” of more spending and lower deficits | AMP Capital

The 2022-23 Australian Budget – a “magic election pudding” of more spending and lower deficits Key Points A budget windfall has allowed both more spending and lower budget deficits, with the 2022-23 budget deficit expected to be $80bn (down from $99bn in December). Key measures include “cost of living” payments, a temporary cut to fuel excise, more spending on infrastructure & defence & more help for home buyers. Relying mainly on nominal economic growth to …

Oliver’s Insights – Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better?

Oliver’s Insights – Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better? Key points The situation regarding Ukraine is at high risk of getting worse before it gets better for investment markets. The key is how much Russian energy exports are disrupted & whether NATO forces avoid the conflict. Five big picture implications are likely to be: increased geopolitical tensions; reduced globalisation; …

Market Update 18 March 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 18 March 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw share markets rebound helped by optimism about a peace deal in Ukraine, a fall back in oil prices, relief that the Fed’s first rate hike was broadly as expected with the Fed seeing the US economy as strong and indications that China will provide more policy stimulus partly to combat covid related lockdowns. This saw strong gains in …

Market Update 11 March 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 11 March 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw a further escalation in sanctions over the war in Ukraine with now energy being targeted resulting in another surge in oil prices and leg down in global share prices before a relief rally kicked in on hopes for a peace deal and increased OPEC production only to see share markets fall again. The gyrations left US, Japanese and …

Econosights: Inflation risks: implications from Russia/Ukraine war and the floods | AMP Capital

Econosights: Inflation risks: implications from Russia/Ukraine war and the floods Key points The Russia/Ukraine war is causing a big rise across many commodity prices including gas, oil, iron ore, coal and wheat. This will flow through to consumer prices. Flooding across the east coast of Australia will also put upward pressure on fruit and vegetable prices. We have revised our inflation forecasts higher to account for these impacts. We expect headline inflation to be just …