Oliver’s insights – seven key charts

Seven key charts worth keeping an eye on remain: global business conditions PMIs; inflation and our Inflation Indicators; unemployment and underemployment; inflation expectations; earnings revisions; the gap between earnings yields and bond yields; and the US dollar.

Econosights – inflation trends

The anticipated fall in inflation is occurring across the advanced world, thanks to a decline in commodity prices and slowing in goods inflation. But, sticky services inflation is keeping the overall rate of inflation elevated and well above central bank inflation targets.

Oliver’s insights – house price outlook

Australian home prices rose again in April & along with other indicators suggest the home price downturn is over, but we must now watch rates and unemployment

Econosights – how important is the banking sector to the economy?

In this Econosights we look at the role of the banking sector in an economy and how the recent developments risk a further negative flow-on impact to the rest of the economy.

Oliver’s Insights – the RBA hikes rates by another 0.25% – are we there yet?

The RBA hiked again by 0.25% taking the cash rate to 3.35%. It continues to expect to increase interest rates further.

Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on in assessing the investment outlook | AMP Capital

Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on in assessing the investment outlook   Key points While we are optimistic on a 12-month horizon, shares are at high risk of further falls and a re-test of their June lows in the short term given hawkish central banks, heightened recession risks and geopolitical risks. Seven key global charts worth keeping an eye on by investors are: global business conditions PMIs; US inflation and our …

Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares | AMP Capital

Corrections, gummy bears and grizzly bears in shares Key Points Shares have had a good rebound but could still fall further in the short term as risks remain high around monetary tightening and geopolitical tensions. However, a deep bear market is unlikely as US, global and Australian recessions are unlikely to be imminent. Introduction While shares have had a nice rebound from their January lows helped in part by some good earnings news – reversing …

Market Update 2 July | AMP Capital

Market Update 2 July Investment markets and key developments over the past week While the US share market rose over the last week, other global share markets fell with concerns about a renewed rise in coronavirus cases. The latest coronavirus outbreak and new lockdowns also weighed on the Australian share market with gains in telcos, retail and energy stocks offset by weakness in utilities, IT and property shares. The risk off tone saw bond yields fall, …

Market Update 18 June | AMP Capital

Market Update 18 June Investment markets and key developments over the past week While US shares fell over the last week as the Fed surprised on the hawkish side and Chinese shares also fell, Eurozone and Japanese shares rose benefitting from reopening and having central banks that are a long way behind the Fed. Australian shares also had a strong week rising to a new record high although this was led by IT, health, retail …