E – Oliver’s Insights

The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment | AMP Capital

The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment Key points The Government now expects the Federal budget deficit to peak at $161bn this financial year (down from $214bn in October’s Budget) and fall to $107bn in 2021-22. The windfall to the budget from stronger growth is being spent on extra stimulus. Return to budget surplus looks more than a decade away. Key measures include more spending …

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APR 21 – Federal Budget & global markets update | AMP Capital

ECONOMICS & MARKETS APR 21 – Federal Budget & global markets update After a historical Federal Budget spending spree in 2020, what impact will the 2021 Budget have on the recovery? In this webinar Shane Oliver, Chief Economist & Head of Investment Strategy will give an update on the 2021 Budget: 12 May, 2021 By Dr Shane Oliver Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP Capital Sydney, Australia Important information While every …

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Market Update 07 May | AMP Capital

Market Update 07 May Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets mostly rose over the last week helped by good earnings and dovish central banks. US, European and Japanese shares rose but Chinese shares fell. Helped by the positive global lead and a dovish RBA the Australian share market also rose making a new recovery high with very strong gains in materials, energy and financial stocks. While the ASX200 has …

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The return of geopolitical risk? – what to watch over the remainder of 2021 | AMP Capital

The return of geopolitical risk? – what to watch over the remainder of 2021 Key points Geopolitical issues generate much interest but don’t necessarily have a significant impact on markets. But geopolitical risks are higher than prior to the GFC reflecting three big themes: a populist backlash against economic rationalist policies; the falling relative power of the US; and the polarising impact of social media. After a lull following the transition to President Biden, key …

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Market Update 30 April | AMP Capital

Market Update 30 April Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with US shares rising to new record highs helped by good economic data, strong earnings and more stimulus and Chinese shares rising but European and Japanese shares fell. Australian shares also fell back slightly as the local market continues to work off technically overbought conditions after its early April surge. Weakness in retailers, …

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Market Update 23 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 23 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets generally fell over the last week with first worries about the resurgence in global coronavirus cases and then reports that President Biden will propose a doubling in capital gains tax for high income earners weighing on markets. Although Chinese shares managed to rise from a double bottom after sharp falls since February, US, European and Japanese shares fell. Despite the …

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Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end | AMP Capital

Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end Key points Australian home prices are currently in a cyclical upswing which likely has further to go into 2022. However, the longer-term bull market, that has seen above trend growth in property prices since the mid-1990s, may be close to an end as the long-term decline in interest rates bottoms out, property undersupply swings towards oversupply & …

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Market Update 16 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 16 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While Japanese and Chinese shares fell again over the last week, US and European shares pushed higher helped by good economic data, a strong start to the US earnings reporting season, ongoing dovish comments from the Fed and tame bond yields. Reflecting the strong US lead, strong local data on confidence and jobs and a bit of catch-up Australian shares rose to …

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The importance of starting point valuations for investment returns – and where are we now? | AMP Capital

The importance of starting point valuations for investment returns – and where are we now? Key points Starting point valuations – like yields and price to earnings multiples – are a key driver of potential medium term investment returns. For growth assets it’s often more complicated with, eg, the level of interest rates playing a big role. At present valuation starting points for term deposits and bonds suggest low medium-term returns. For shares they …

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Market Update 09 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 09 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While Japanese and Chinese share fell over the last week, US shares rose to a new record high helped by strong data, stimulus optimism and dovish comments from the Fed and Eurozone shares also rose solidly. Reflecting the strong US lead, RBA dovishness and playing catch up after underperforming the previous week the Australian share market rose sharply to …