E – Oliver’s Insights

The return of geopolitical risk? – what to watch over the remainder of 2021 | AMP Capital

The return of geopolitical risk? – what to watch over the remainder of 2021 Key points Geopolitical issues generate much interest but don’t necessarily have a significant impact on markets. But geopolitical risks are higher than prior to the GFC reflecting three big themes: a populist backlash against economic rationalist policies; the falling relative power of the US; and the polarising impact of social media. After a lull following the transition to President Biden, key …

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Market Update 30 April | AMP Capital

Market Update 30 April Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with US shares rising to new record highs helped by good economic data, strong earnings and more stimulus and Chinese shares rising but European and Japanese shares fell. Australian shares also fell back slightly as the local market continues to work off technically overbought conditions after its early April surge. Weakness in retailers, …

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Market Update 23 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 23 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets generally fell over the last week with first worries about the resurgence in global coronavirus cases and then reports that President Biden will propose a doubling in capital gains tax for high income earners weighing on markets. Although Chinese shares managed to rise from a double bottom after sharp falls since February, US, European and Japanese shares fell. Despite the …

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Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end | AMP Capital

Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end Key points Australian home prices are currently in a cyclical upswing which likely has further to go into 2022. However, the longer-term bull market, that has seen above trend growth in property prices since the mid-1990s, may be close to an end as the long-term decline in interest rates bottoms out, property undersupply swings towards oversupply & …

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Market Update 16 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 16 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While Japanese and Chinese shares fell again over the last week, US and European shares pushed higher helped by good economic data, a strong start to the US earnings reporting season, ongoing dovish comments from the Fed and tame bond yields. Reflecting the strong US lead, strong local data on confidence and jobs and a bit of catch-up Australian shares rose to …

FinancialPartners 17/04/2021 17/04/2021 Blog / E - Economics / E - Insights Papers / E - Market Update / E - Oliver's Insights / FP - Financial Planning again / Chinese / European / fell / Japanese / last / over / Shares / week / While

The importance of starting point valuations for investment returns – and where are we now? | AMP Capital

The importance of starting point valuations for investment returns – and where are we now? Key points Starting point valuations – like yields and price to earnings multiples – are a key driver of potential medium term investment returns. For growth assets it’s often more complicated with, eg, the level of interest rates playing a big role. At present valuation starting points for term deposits and bonds suggest low medium-term returns. For shares they …

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Market Update 09 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 09 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While Japanese and Chinese share fell over the last week, US shares rose to a new record high helped by strong data, stimulus optimism and dovish comments from the Fed and Eurozone shares also rose solidly. Reflecting the strong US lead, RBA dovishness and playing catch up after underperforming the previous week the Australian share market rose sharply to …

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RBA on hold and likely to remain easy for a long while yet as full employment gets more of a look in | AMP Capital

RBA on hold and likely to remain easy for a long while yet as full employment gets more of a look in Key points The RBA left the cash rate at 0.1% at its April meeting. While the economy is recovering faster than expected the conditions for a rate hike – actual inflation sustainably in the 2-3% target zone and wages growth well above 3% – are unlikely to be met for several years. The …

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Market Update 01 April 2021 | AMP Capital

Market Update 01 April 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While US shares fell fractionally over the last week despite a bounce in tech stocks, Eurozone, Japanese and Chinese shares rose. Australian shares also fell fractionally over the last week with strong gains in industrial and material shares being offset by weakness in utilities, energy, retail and health care stocks. Bond yields generally rose slightly but metal, iron ore and oil …

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Market outlook Q&A – global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash, Aust house prices and other issues | AMP Capital

Market outlook Q&A – global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash, Aust house prices and other issues Key points Global recovery is on track. Vaccines are working. JobKeeper’s end won’t derail Australia’s recovery. Inflation could become an issue in the medium term. Shares are at risk of a correction but are supported by economic and earnings recovery. Australian house prices are booming again but expect measures to slow it down in …