Econosights – does the Federal Reserve have to cut rates first?

In this Econosights we look at whether the US Federal Reserve will be the first major central bank to cut interest rates in this cycle.

Investment markets and key developments over the past week | AMP Capital

Investment markets and key developments over the past week It was a turbulent week for markets after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.5% at its May board meeting. This outcome was expected by the market and economists and the market actually rose from comments by Fed Chair Powell that 0.75% rate rises was “not something that the committee is actively considering” which alleviated fears of an extremely aggressive short-term rate hike profile …

The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors | AMP Capital

The 2022 Australian Federal election and investors Key points Australian election campaigns tend to result in a period of uncertainty which have seen weak gains on average for shares followed by a bounce once it’s out of the way. Labor is not offering a significantly different economic policy agenda than the Coalition. With the exception of climate policies, it’s hard to see a significant impact on investment markets from a change in government. A bigger …

The US Federal Reserve starts raising interest rates – implications for Australia and investors | AMP Capital

The US Federal Reserve starts raising interest rates – implications for Australia and investors Key Points The Fed has finally joined other central banks in raising interest rates, taking the Fed Funds rate from a range of 0-0.25% to 0.25-0.5%. This was well flagged and reflects the tight US labour market and high inflation. The Fed flagged another six rate hikes this year and the start of quantitative tightening soon. First rate hikes in a …

Federal Budget 2021-22

2021-22 Federal Budget roundup As the COVID economic landscape continues to take shape, Australian Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has handed down the 2021-22 Federal Budget. Among the proposed changes, he announced continuing tax relief for lower earners, help for older Australians to save for retirement and more assistance for first home buyers. Read on for a round-up of the proposals, and a look at how they might affect your household expenses and financial future. Remember, at the moment these are just …

The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment | AMP Capital

The 2021-22 Australian Budget – spending the growth windfall to further grow the economy towards full employment Key points The Government now expects the Federal budget deficit to peak at $161bn this financial year (down from $214bn in October’s Budget) and fall to $107bn in 2021-22. The windfall to the budget from stronger growth is being spent on extra stimulus. Return to budget surplus looks more than a decade away. Key measures include more spending …

APR 21 – Federal Budget & global markets update | AMP Capital

ECONOMICS & MARKETS APR 21 – Federal Budget & global markets update   After a historical Federal Budget spending spree in 2020, what impact will the 2021 Budget have on the recovery? In this webinar Shane Oliver, Chief Economist & Head of Investment Strategy will give an update on the 2021 Budget:   12 May, 2021 By Dr Shane Oliver Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP Capital Sydney, Australia Important information While every …

The Australian Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook – peak deficit has likely been seen

The Australian Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook – peak deficit has likely been seen Key points Reflecting the faster than expected Australian economic recovery, the Federal Government has upgraded its growth forecasts and downgraded its unemployment expectations. This in turn, along with higher than expected revenue from higher iron ore prices, has seen the expected budget deficit for this financial year revised down slightly to $198bn from $214bn. We have probably now seen the …

OCT 20 – The impact of the 2020 federal budget on markets and the economy

ECONOMICS & MARKETS OCT 20 – The impact of the 2020 federal budget on markets and the economy This year’s federal budget is one for the ages, as the Australian government plots the path to post-COVID recovery. Our senior economist, Diana Mousina, and co-portfolio manager, Dermot Ryan, talk through its key features and impacts for markets and the economy. Diana and Dermot will also be available to take your questions. By Diana Mousina Economist – Investment …

Federal Budget 2020-21 round-up

Federal Budget 2020-21 round-up Find out how the measures announced in last night’s Federal Budget could affect you. So, was it worth the wait? After the most tumultuous year in living memory, Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has finally handed down his much-anticipated 2020-21 Federal Budget. Among the proposed changes, he announced income tax savings and superannuation reforms. Read on for a round-up of the proposals, and a look at how they might affect your household expenses …