Category: E – Insights Papers

AMP Capital Insights papers

Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Wrap 15 March 2018

Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Wrap 15 March 2018 Welcome again to the Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Wrap, where our team share the latest ESG issues in the media and their implications on investment. This month the key ESG issues making headlines are: ‘Silent boycott’: Gen Ys dump scandal-hit brands but stay quiet about it How blockchain is strengthening tuna traceability to combat illegal fishing Plastic and Waste in the Spotlight The Pimlico Plumbers case …

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A slip in house prices is no reason to panic

A slip in house prices is no reason to panic The current slide in Sydney and Melbourne residential property prices will fall far short of a housing bust, according to AMP Capital Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, Shane Oliver. House prices in Sydney have fallen about 5 per cent this year from last year’s peak, and eased slightly in Melbourne according to Oliver, who adds that both markets may have further softness ahead. “I …

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Where’s all the share market volatility coming from?

Where’s all the share market volatility coming from? There is quite a lot of talk about volatility coming back to share markets all of a sudden, and with the talk there’s also bit of conjecture about where the volatility originates from. Some say it’s because interest rates and bond yields are beginning to rise; others will point to the end of quantitative easing in the United States and elsewhere for the bumpier ride. The return …

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What the rise of the $A means for global investors

What the rise of the $A means for global investors The recent rise of the Australian dollar has been surprising but not confounding for experts who believe the its natural level is closer to US70 cents. Indeed, it’s the weakness of the US dollar that’s pushed the Australian dollar higher relative to the benchmark currency in recent weeks even though US economic growth and a resurgent commodities segment had most market watchers expecting the Australian …

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Are Australian households more vulnerable than we think?

  Are Australian households more vulnerable than we think? A lot has been said and written about Australia’s household debt levels and possible implications on the banking system and the economy more broadly. But could Australian households be even more constrained than the headline numbers are suggesting? Michele Bullock, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Assistant Governor, highlights the stresses households will likely be facing well before any rise official interest rate materialises in this speech. Bullock points …

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What if interest rates rise faster than expected?

What if interest rates rise faster than expected? The US Federal Reserve may raise interest rates twice as often as the market expects in 2018, according to AMP Capital Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist Shane Oliver. “This year we think the Fed is going to raise rates more than the market is allowing for,” says Oliver. “Market expectations are factoring about two and a half hikes and we actually think they will do …

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The outlook for real assets in 2018

The outlook for real assets in 2018 Adjustments to monetary policy by Central Banks globally, along with the technological change sweeping through and changing the shape of industries, emerge as the two pervasive themes likely to define real asset valuations in 2018 and beyond, according to leading real estate and infrastructure experts. The favourable outlook for real assets is set to continue in 2018, with interest rates globally set to stay at historically low levels, …

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Equities riding on fear not fundamentals

Equities riding on fear not fundamentals “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself,” said Franklin D Roosevelt at his inauguration as US President in 1933. I think “the only thing we have to fear is the fear index itself” is a better description of where investors are at right now. It’s been a wild ride on Wall Street and beyond of the past week – the worst in two years for the …

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‘Volatility comes in clusters’: Dermot Ryan

‘Volatility comes in clusters’: Dermot Ryan Investors glued to their share portfolio screens recently following the abrupt share market selloff should expect to experience more of the same in the months ahead, according to Dermot Ryan, AMP Capital Income Equity Fund Co-Portfolio Manager.While more volatility can mean higher levels of anxiety for some investors, it can also bring opportunities to those able to stay calm during these periods, Ryan adds. “Volatility, where we haven’t seen …

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