Market Update 24 June 2022 Investment markets & key developments Share markets managed to stabilise and, in most major markets, bounce from oversold levels over the last week as there were no new hawkish surprises from central banks and weak economic data saw bond yields fall taking pressure of share market valuations despite increasing worries about recession. For the week (to date) US shares are up just over 3% and Australian shares rose by just …
Econosights: Global growth fears – are we heading into a recession? Key points Global growth is slowing as fiscal and monetary policy are tightening. High inflation means that interest rates will be increased further from here. Recession indicators (an inversion in the US 2/10 year yield curve and the bear market in global shares) are showing increased odds of a recession in the next 12-18 months. We have lowered Australian GDP forecasts and now see …
Market Update 17 June 2022 Investment markets & key developments Share markets tumbled again over the last week as markets moved to anticipate even more aggressive rate hikes from central banks after the release of higher than expected US inflation data. For the week (so far) global shares are down around 6% and Australian shares are down by around 7%. The fall in the Australian share market was led by IT stocks which have been under …
Market Update 10 June 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Sharemarkets came under renewed downward pressure this week (after a few weeks of rallying). Themes of stagflation risks, heightened recession odds, hawkish central banks and questions as to whether inflation has peaked or not continue to be the main drivers of markets. US shares were down by 2.2% with the tech-heavy Nasdaq down by a similar am. Australian shares are 4% …
Market Update 03 June 2022 Investment markets & key developments Share markets mostly rose again in the past week as the rebound from oversold levels continued partly on hopes that some cooling in demand will take pressure of inflation and central banks, and as China started to reopen. European shares were little changed but US, Japanese, Chinese and Australian shares rose. The gains in Australian shares were let by resources, consumer staples and industrials offsetting falls …
Market Update 27 May 2022 Investment markets & key developments Share markets saw a bit of relief in the past week – bouncing of oversold lows helped by less hawkish than feared comments from the ECB and Fed, a further pullback in US bond yields, improved outlooks from some US retailers and airlines and M&A activity. This left the US share market on track for its first weekly gain after seven weeks of falls, and European, …
Market Update 20 May 2022 Investment markets & key developments It was another volatile weak in share markets with worries that rate hikes, cost pressures and Chinese supply disruptions would hit profits after downgrades from some US retailers and tech stocks. This left US and Eurozone shares down, but Japanese, Chinese and Australian shares rose helped by monetary easing in China. In Australia gains in IT, utility and material shares more than offset falls in …
Market Update 13 May 2022 Share markets fell again over the last week with ongoing worries about monetary tightening to combat high inflation driving a possible recession. The plunge in global shares also dragged down the Australian share market which saw sharp falls in IT, material, property and industrial shares with only health stocks rising for the week. Global bond yields pulled back from their highs, oil, metal and iron ore prices fell and the …
Investment markets and key developments over the past week It was a turbulent week for markets after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.5% at its May board meeting. This outcome was expected by the market and economists and the market actually rose from comments by Fed Chair Powell that 0.75% rate rises was “not something that the committee is actively considering” which alleviated fears of an extremely aggressive short-term rate hike profile …
Market Update 22 April 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with solid gains initially, helped by strong US earnings results, but a resumption of interest rate concerns weighing later in the week. Eurozone shares rose, US shares were basically flat but with bond sensitive tech stocks weighing and Japanese and Chinese shares fell. Australian shares almost made it to a record high but got …
