What’s next for the Australian and global economies? Quick take-outs 2022 is likely to be the year COVID-19 goes from being an epidemic to endemic Expect ongoing global economic recovery – albeit with bumps along the way The spike in inflation is partly due to pandemic driven distortions to demand and supply chains but inflation will be higher over the years ahead than it was pre-COVID Expect the first RBA rate hike in late …
Market Update 3 December Investment markets & key developments Global share markets had another rough week as uncertainty around the impact of the Omicron variant on global growth and Fed Chair Powell flagging a faster taper led to a bit of a roller coaster ride. While Eurozone shares are up slightly for the week and Chinese shares are flat, US and Japanese shares are down. The week global lead and news of the arrival of Omicron …
Market Update 26 November Investment markets & key developments Global share markets mostly fell over the past week as inflation, interest rate and coronavirus concerns – with rising cases in Europe and a new variant in South Africa – rattled investors with travel stocks being hard hit. US shares were up slightly prior to Thanksgiving, but other major markets fell. This included the Australian share market which saw sharp falls in IT, financial, retail and telco …
Market Update 19 November Investment markets & key developments Global share markets mostly rose over the last week helped by strong US economic data. US, European and Japanese shares rose but Chinese shares fell. Australian shares also fell with sharp falls in financials on the back of bank margin concerns and in resources stocks reflecting lower oil and iron ore prices. Bond yields were mixed – up slightly in the US and Australia but down …
Market Update 12 November Investment markets & key developments Share markets were hit again over the past week as more high inflation readings added to concernsabout monetary tightening. This left US and European shares down for the week and Japanese shares little changed. Chinese shares bucked the trend and rose. While falls in US shares weighed on the Australian share market mid-week a strong rise on Friday left it little changed for the week with strong …
Market Update 5 November Investment markets and key developments over the past week In the past few weeks, financial markets have been pricing in aggressive rate hikes from the major central banks over the next year because inflation data has been surprising on the upside. However, this week numerous central banks banded together and pushed back against market pricing which led to a fall in government bond yields, particularly at the front end of the …
Market Update 29 October Investment markets & key developments Share markets were mixed over the past week – up in the US and Europe on strong US earnings results, but down in Japan, China and Australia. The Australian share market was hit by interest rate fears after a stronger than expected underlying inflation result and signs the RBA may be becoming more hawkish. Bond yields fell in the US and Europe but rose in Australia with …
Rising bond yields and the end of the super cycle bull market in bonds Key Points It’s normal for bond yields to rise in economic recoveries but it’s looking increasingly likely that the nearly 40-year super cycle decline in bond yields is over. This will remove a key tailwind for investment returns over the decade ahead but as we have seen this year bond yields are unlikely to go up in a straight line. Introduction …
Market Update 22 October Investment markets & key developments US shares made it to a new high in the past week helped by strong earnings results and good economic data, and Chinese shares rose but European and Japanese shares pulled back slightly. The positive US lead also saw Australian shares rise helped by reopening optimism led by gains from property, IT, retail and financial shares. Bond yields resumed their upswing with 10-year bond yields in the …
Market Update 15 October Investment markets & key developments Global share markets mostly rose over the last week helped by a good start to the US earnings reporting season, solid economic data and US inflation data not being as bad as feared. The positive global lead also saw Australian shares rise led by materials, IT, health and property stocks. Bond yields pulled back a bit after their recent rise but oil, metal and iron prices rose …
