E – Insights Papers

What do July’s strong building approval numbers say about Australia’s growth prospects? | AMP Capital

What do July’s strong building approval numbers say about Australia’s growth prospects? Building approvals in Australia surged by 12% in July, up 6.3% compared to a year ago. This was a much stronger result than consensus expectations of a fall in the order of 2%, and follows a run of better than anticipated numbers since April’s low point. As an important leading indicator of national construction activity, and with implications for the lending sector as …

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Market Update 11 September 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 11 September 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The equity market correction that started last week, driven by falls in tech stocks, has continued, and has now broadened out to other sectors. US shares are down by 2.6% and the tech-heavy NASDAQ is down by a larger 4% over the week. But, all sectors in the S&P500 fell over the week and energy was down heavily as the oil …

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GDP figures are creeping to Great Depression levels, but there’s more to the story | AMP Capital

GDP figures are creeping to Great Depression levels, but there’s more to the story On September 2, gross domestic product (GDP) data for the June quarter confirmed that Australia is experiencing its first recession since 1991. Australia has recorded backwards growth for the second quarter in a row, with Australian GDP falling by 7% in the June quarter. While the figure is better than forecasts a few months ago – about a 10% …

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More action out of the RBA this month to support the economy | AMP Capital

More action out of the RBA this month to support the economy At its September board meeting, the RBA left interest rates on hold, which was no big surprise. The surprise was in the RBA’s announcement of an extension and increase of the cheap funding it provides to the banks. You might recall back in March, the RBA announced a term funding facility, under which it would provide cheap loans to the banks, locked …

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Market Update 04 September 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 04 September 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week US shares hit another record high mid-week only to be reversed by the end of the week because of a big fall in tech shares, which have been driving the rebound in US equities since the March lows. The US S&P is down by 1.5% over the week, with the tech sector (which has the biggest weight in the index) down …

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Market outlook Q&A – disconnect to real economy, growth v value, vaccines, property, gold, inflation and other issues | AMP Capital

Market outlook Q&A – disconnect to real economy, growth v value, vaccines, property, gold, inflation and other issues Key points Share markets often lead economic recoveries. Share markets are likely to see a rotation in favour of cyclical stocks relative to growth stocks and this would favour non-US and Australian shares over US shares. Markets have only partially priced in a vaccine. More downside is likely in the $US and this could see the $A …

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Market Update 28 August 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 28 August 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rose over the past week helped by continuing signs of economic recovery, positive coronavirus vaccine and treatment news and anticipation of the Fed’s shift to inflation average targeting. Australian shares fell slightly though over the past week reflecting poor earnings results with weakness in utilities, energy, health, telco and material shares. Bond yields rose helped by the Fed’s more …

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AUG 20 – Shane Oliver’s update on the current state of global share markets | AMP Capital

ECONOMICS & MARKETS AUG 20 – Shane Oliver’s update on the current state of global share markets Please join Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, for an update on the current state of global share markets. By Dr Shane Oliver Head of Investment Strategy and Economics and Chief Economist, AMP CapitalSydney, Australia Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 …

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4 reasons the share market could hold up against COVID-19

4 reasons the share market could hold up against COVID-19 There are very good reasons for the faith that investors are placing in equities markets. News around the COVID-19 pandemic hasn’t been promising. New cases have shown early signs of stabilising, but it’s too soon to say we’ll see a dip in new cases. The world’s largest economy also remains under siege as the virus begins to take hold across many parts of the US. …

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Econosights: The outlook for consumers | AMP Capital

Econosights: The outlook for consumers Key points Despite the fall in Australian employment since March, total household incomes have risen from government payments and other measures including the mortgage deferral scheme and early access to superannuation. Consumer savings will lift in the short-term from the temporary boost to income and lower consumer spending. Higher household savings will help to smooth consumption over the next year as household income growth remains low into 2021 as the …