Econosights: The outlook for Australian wages | AMP Capital

Econosights: The outlook for Australian wages Key points Australian wages growth has been constrained because the supply of labour has increased since the beginning of the pandemic with the labour force participation rate now at a record high. High labour underutilisation over recent years has also kept a lid on wages growth. But, a tighter labour market, falling labour underutilisation, a higher inflation environment, a lift in the minimum wage and higher public sector wage …

Econosights: The RBA, the neutral interest rate and how many hikes to expect | AMP Capital

Econosights: The RBA, the neutral interest rate and how many hikes to expect Key points Inflation is running hot around the world, driven by strong goods demand, global shipping and supply issues and high commodity prices. Higher than expected inflation in Australia will see the RBA lifting interest rates to at least 1% by Dec-2022 and 1.5% in the first half of 2023. A fall in inflation in 2023 from an easing in supply pressures …

Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices | AMP Capital

Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices Key Points Oil prices have spiked on the anticipation and now reality of restrictions on Russian oil supply from the war in Ukraine. This is driving a sharp rise in petrol prices which will hit household spending power. Fortunately, there is an offset in Australia from the boost to national income from higher energy prices and commodity prices generally and scope for the Federal Government …

COVID-19 real estate trends: The fire break or the accelerant? | AMP Capital

COVID-19 real estate trends: The fire break or the accelerant? As the world tried to make sense of the COVID-19 crisis through the first half of 2020, one of the most striking themes was the way in which the pandemic had accelerated a number of trends across commerce and society. Two of these – e-commerce and flexible working – were particularly significant for the property sector, in their effect and long-term implications for retail, industrial …

Econosights: Inflation in the COVID-19 world | AMP Capital

Econosights: Inflation in the COVID-19 world Key points The money supply across major economies has skyrocketed from central bank asset purchases (or quantitative easing), government stimulus payments and wages building up in bank deposits. There is some concern that the boom in money supply growth could lead to an inflation breakout. However, prior surges in the money supply have not always led to higher inflation. Central bank quantitative easing programs are a big driver of …

Econosights: The economics of COVID-19 lockdowns | AMP Capital

Econosights: The economics of COVID-19 lockdowns   Key points Rising COVID-19 cases around the world is leading to questions about the need for another round of government lockdowns to stop the spread of the virus. Lockdowns lead to closed businesses, lower household spending and higher unemployment. But a lot of these outcomes would still occur without a lockdown as households self-regulate their behaviour. Sweden is evidence of this. It has pursued a herd immunity strategy, …

What we’re watching for as markets try and normalise for the second half of 2020

  What we’re watching for as markets try and normalise for the second half of 2020 We’re past the halfway point of a year that has marked a profound chapter in modern history. This time last year, the events of the last six months would have been unimaginable. This time a few months ago, there was no end in clear sight. Now, it’s hard to believe we’re this far through the year. Realising all this …

Investment markets and economic recovery from COVID-19 – Shane Oliver May 2020

Since the start of 2020, COVID-19 has changed the world in many unexpected ways. Investment markets have experienced ongoing volatility and even the most stable economies have been shaken. But what does it all mean? AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver explores some of the most frequently asked questions and provides his forecast for recovery in this recorded webinar from May 2020. Original Author: Produced by AMP and published on 28/05/2020

Where to seek advice during the COVID-19 crisis | Money & Life

Where to seek advice during the COVID-19 crisis The COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis and people the world over are experiencing impacts in their lives as a result. To keep your anxieties about money to a minimum, find out where you can turn for help to secure your finances and income. With the ongoing escalation of the COVID-19 crisis many people are struggling. Huge changes are happening and we’re all being affected, socially, emotionally …

Where to seek advice in uncertain times | Money & Life

Where to seek advice in uncertain times The COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis and people the world over are experiencing impacts in their lives as a result. To keep your anxieties about money to a minimum, find out where you can turn for help to secure your finances and income. With the ongoing escalation of the COVID-19 crisis many people are struggling. Huge changes are happening and we’re all being affected, socially, emotionally and …