Market Update 02 October 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets mostly rose over the last week helped by dip buying in the US, some hope (which is now fading) for a new US stimulus deal and mostly good economic data. Australian shares fell though, after bucking the trend of falling markets in the previous week and with energy, consumer staple, utility, health and financial shares particularly hard hit. …
Biden versus Trump – the US presidential election is looming as the next big event for investors Key points The US election has significant potential to add to volatility in investment markets. A Trump victory will mean more of the same and would likely initially be more positive for US than global and Australian shares. By contrast a Biden victory may add to short-term volatility but this is likely to be short lived as there …
ECONOMICS & MARKETS SEP 2020 – Global markets and macro update – persevering through the ‘new normal’ By Diana Mousina Economist – Investment Strategy & Dynamic MarketsSydney Australia Please join Diana Mousina, Senior Economist, for an update on investment markets and the macro outlook. Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 777 591, AFSL 232497) and AMP Capital Funds Management Limited (ABN …
Econosights: The outlook for the global economy Key points Our forecasts anticipate a solid rebound in global GDP growth over 2H2020 across developed economies from re-openings after strict national lockdowns, better management of COVID-19 cases and continued policy support. A cyclical upswing is evident in US indicators of manufacturing, industrial production and housing. Vaccine developments provide upside and downside risks to our views. Our current growth forecasts assume that a vaccine is available by …
Market Update 25 September 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets fell again over the last week on concerns about rising coronavirus cases, tightening social distancing restrictions in Europe and the lack of progress towards additional fiscal stimulus in the US. Despite a rally late in the week, US shares fell 0.6%, eurozone shares lost 4.2%, Japanese shares fell 0.7% and Chinese shares fell 3.5%. Australian shares however managed a …
Australia’s “eye popping” budget deficit and public debt blow out – can it be paid off? Does it matter? Key points The Australian Federal budget next month will likely see a further blow out in the budget deficit due to the ongoing hit to tax revenue & more stimulus. We expect an “eye popping” 2020-21 deficit of around $230bn. Stepped up economic reforms will help grow the economy but are unlikely to drive a …
Market Update 18 September 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets mostly rose slightly over the last week after two weeks of falls helped by reasonable economic data, anticipation of Fed dovishness, positive vaccine news and M&A activity. However, some of the gains were given up later in the week as tech stocks came under renewed pressure and the Fed did less than some had hoped. Despite the volatility Australian shares …
What do July’s strong building approval numbers say about Australia’s growth prospects? Building approvals in Australia surged by 12% in July, up 6.3% compared to a year ago. This was a much stronger result than consensus expectations of a fall in the order of 2%, and follows a run of better than anticipated numbers since April’s low point. As an important leading indicator of national construction activity, and with implications for the lending sector as …
Market Update 11 September 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The equity market correction that started last week, driven by falls in tech stocks, has continued, and has now broadened out to other sectors. US shares are down by 2.6% and the tech-heavy NASDAQ is down by a larger 4% over the week. But, all sectors in the S&P500 fell over the week and energy was down heavily as the oil …
GDP figures are creeping to Great Depression levels, but there’s more to the story On September 2, gross domestic product (GDP) data for the June quarter confirmed that Australia is experiencing its first recession since 1991. Australia has recorded backwards growth for the second quarter in a row, with Australian GDP falling by 7% in the June quarter. While the figure is better than forecasts a few months ago – about a 10% …
