Market Update 12 March 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets rebounded over the last week as bond markets settled down a bit helped by central bank action and as $1.9 trillion in additional US stimulus was signed into law by President Biden. This saw the US share market rise to a record high (albeit the bond sensitive Nasdaq remains 5% down from its high), Eurozone shares rise to their highest …
Shares have had a very strong rebound since March last year so where are we in the investment cycle? Key points The history of cyclical bull markets in shares suggests that the rebound since last March still has a way to go. But it’s normal for the second 12 months of a cyclical bull market to see slower returns from shares. While shares are vulnerable to a further correction triggered by the spike in …
Market Update 5 March 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week While share markets had a strong bounce early in the past week as fears around rising bond yields briefly eased they returned later in the week particularly after Fed Chair Powell reiterated the Fed’s dovishness but failed to signal significant concern or action to deal with rising bond yields. As a result, US, Japanese and Chinese shares fell for the week, …
Market Update 26 February 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets fell over the last week as the selloff in bonds accelerated raising concerns about valuations. Bond yields increased significantly, particularly in the US and Australia and 10 year yields at their highs on Friday were up by around 100 basis points in the US from last year’s low and by around 130 basis points in Australia, before settling …
Market Update 12 February 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rose again over the last week helped by good US earnings, declining new coronavirus cases and ongoing assurance of easy monetary policy and US fiscal stimulus. Australian shares fell slightly for the week though led by declines in energy, industrial, material and utility stocks not helped by Friday’s news of yet another snap lockdown – this time in Victoria. …
Market Update 05 February 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rebounded over the last week helped by good economic data and earnings news, reduced concerns around vaccines and as worries about the Reddit/day trader crowd adding to volatility fizzled. This saw the US share market rise to a new record high. Reflecting the positive global lead along with strong Australian data and a very dovish message from the RBA …
Market Update 29 January 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets fell over the past week hit by a combination of concerns around coronavirus, vaccine roll out and delays to extra US stimulus as US day traders added to volatility. Australian shares fell reflecting the weak global lead with resources, IT, financial and industrial shares seeing the biggest falls. Bond yields fell in the US and Europe but were …
Seven key charts for investors to watch regarding the global economy and investment markets this year Key points Shares are at risk of a short-term correction or consolidation, but investment markets should provide solid returns this year on the back of continuing economic recovery and low interest rates. Seven key global charts worth keeping an eye on by investors this year are: the trend in new coronavirus cases and deaths; global business conditions PMIs; unemployment; …
Market Update 22 January 2021 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets rebounded over the past week with US shares hitting a record high helped by good earnings news and optimism regarding President Biden’s stimulus plans. Reflecting the positive global lead and good Australian economic data the Australian share market rose to its highest since February led by strong gains in IT, retail, health and telco stocks. Bond yields mostly rose …
US political protests, inflation and rising bond yields Key points US protests are only an issue for investment markets if they significantly impact economic activity. Global and Australian recovery will boost bond yields and there is good reason to believe that (after yet another false ending) the now nearly 40-year super cycle decline in bond yields may be at or close to over. But the end of the bond bull market is likely to …
