E – Economics – Page 67

Market Drawdowns

Market Drawdowns Overview As the profit cycle matures, we are increasingly being asked how long-term investors should best position themselves should the economic backdrop and equity markets become more challenging. As the profit cycle matures, we are increasingly being asked how long-term investors should best position themselves should the economic backdrop and equity markets become more challenging. Key points Markets mark-to-market in the short term and are inefficient in the long run. The impact …

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The Shortest Road to Riches

The Shortest Road to Riches Key points Consumer expectations of instant gratification are driving down delivery times Labour shortages and traffic congestion highlight the criticality of well-located logistics facilities Rental costs are being pushed up – but rent is a small part of total logistics supply chain costs New opportunities for rental growth are emerging as logistics real estate grabs a larger slice of the supply chain pie “Lost time is …

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Investment returns over the next five years are likely to slow

Investment returns over the next five years are likely to slow Key points The continuing slide in investment yields across most major asset classes points to a constrained medium-term return outlook. For a diversified mix of assets, this has now fallen to around 6.2% on our projections. The key for investors is to have realistic return expectations; allow that inflation is also low so real returns aren’t down as much; and focus on …

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How to achieve goals with scarce capital

How to achieve goals with scarce capital It’s all well and good to think about goals when you have a million dollars in the super account, but what about people who want to achieve financial goals in circumstances where they have limited current capital. How can a goals-based approach serve them? There are many people in this position and there are some useful goals-based investment strategies customers can use. It is extremely important to be …

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US reporting season and the tech sector

US reporting season and the tech sector AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver says revenue disappointments and slowing user growth at technology giants Facebook and Twitter is a warning that the US tech sector could at some stage underperform – or even suffer a serious correction. “What those disappointments tell us is there is a limit to the take up of social media,” he says. “At some point it will start to slow down.” …

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Weekly Market Update 24 August 2018

Weekly Market Update 24 August 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw most global share markets rise as Turkey slipped out of the headlines, but Australian shares were hit by political uncertainty. Bond yields fell a bit in the US and Australia, were unchanged in Japan and were up a bit in Germany. Oil and metal prices rose but the iron ore price slipped. While the US dollar slipped …

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Is the Australian dollar headed for more downside?

Is the Australian dollar headed for more downside? AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver says he expects the Australian dollar ($A) to weaken further – making unhedged offshore investments more attractive — as interest rates continue to rise in the US. However solid commodity prices should put a floor under falls. So far this year the $A has fallen from around US$0.80 to around US$0.72. “I think the likelihood is it’s got more downside,” …

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Why the $A is likely to fall further and shorting it is good protection against things going wrong globally

Why the $A is likely to fall further and shorting it is good protection against things going wrong globally Key points The downtrend in the $A from 2011 likely has more to go. The $A is near fair value, but the increasing negative interest rate gap to the US & a messy outlook for commodities suggest a fall to $US0.70 by year end. Given the downside risks for the $A and that being short the …

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What two investing insights would you give your 20-year-old self?

What two investing insights would you give your 20-year-old self? Hamish Douglass, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer, Magellan Asset Management My central advice would be that successful investing is about finding and then owning for the long-term companies that can generate excess returns for years to come. It’s not about looking for stocks that might come into short-term favour on stock markets. The worthwhile companies to own for the long term will …

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Weekly Market Update 17 August 2018

Weekly Market Update 17 August 2018 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets had a bit of a messy ride over the last week – first falling on worries about Turkey and then bouncing back to varying degrees on news of new US/China trade talks. This saw Australian and US shares up, Japanese shares flat but Eurozone and Chinese shares down. Bond yields were little changed although they are back above …