Five reasons why this downturn and subsequent recovery are different – and where are we in the Australian recovery now?

Five reasons why this downturn and subsequent recovery are different – and where are we in the Australian recovery now? Key points This economic downturn and recovery differs from those of the past in that: the downturn was driven by a government shutdown; fiscal and monetary support has been faster and bigger; forced asset sales have been headed off; it’s dependent on containing coronavirus; and it’s seeing more rapid structural change. As a result, we …

RBA cuts rates to just 0.1% and ramps up quantitative easing – but will it work?

RBA cuts rates to just 0.1% and ramps up quantitative easing – but will it work? Key points The RBA has cut the cash rate to a record low 0.1% & announced a broad-based quantitative easing program. While the economic boost is likely to be small compared to that provided by the recent Budget, the further reduction in borrowing costs will support household & corporate finances and housing demand as well as keep the $A …

Five reasons why this downturn and subsequent recovery are different – and where are we in the Australian recovery now?

Five reasons why this downturn and subsequent recovery are different – and where are we in the Australian recovery now?   Key points This economic downturn and recovery differs from those of the past in that: the downturn was driven by a government shutdown; fiscal and monetary support has been faster and bigger; forced asset sales have been headed off; it’s dependent on containing coronavirus; and it’s seeing more rapid structural change. As a result, …

Majority of working Aussies to benefit from personal income tax cuts

Majority of working Aussies to benefit from personal income tax cuts Tax cuts proposed in the recent Federal Budget were passed in parliament on Friday 9 October, and you might see some of the benefits before Christmas. The government has brought forward tax cuts originally planned for 1 July 2022 and backdated them to 1 July 2020. Plus, low and middle-income earners are still able to benefit from existing tax offsets. Has my marginal tax …

Aussies saving for a rainy day instead of a holiday

Aussies saving for a rainy day instead of a holiday Not many people can say they’ve been unaffected by COVID-19. Whether you’ve lost work, had hours reduced or been fortunate to maintain employment, COVID has been a wake-up call for how we manage our money and set financial goals. Research1 by AMP shows that the majority of us now believe it’s more important than ever to plan for a secure financial future. For the first time …

Five investment markets impacted by a big week in Australia

Five investment markets impacted by a big week in Australia It’s been a big week in Australia, with the central bank meeting and the government handing down one of the most significant Budgets in our history. For a detailed analysis of our thoughts on the Federal Budget, you can read a note from Shane Oliver and I. Here, we take a look at the outlook for some asset classes after a busy few days. 1. Cash and …

Australia’s “eye popping” budget deficit and public debt blow out – can it be paid off? Does it matter? | AMP Capital

Australia’s “eye popping” budget deficit and public debt blow out – can it be paid off? Does it matter?   Key points The Australian Federal budget next month will likely see a further blow out in the budget deficit due to the ongoing hit to tax revenue & more stimulus. We expect an “eye popping” 2020-21 deficit of around $230bn. Stepped up economic reforms will help grow the economy but are unlikely to drive a …

Econosights: The outlook for consumers | AMP Capital

Econosights: The outlook for consumers Key points Despite the fall in Australian employment since March, total household incomes have risen from government payments and other measures including the mortgage deferral scheme and early access to superannuation. Consumer savings will lift in the short-term from the temporary boost to income and lower consumer spending. Higher household savings will help to smooth consumption over the next year as household income growth remains low into 2021 as the …

Four reasons why share markets can continue to hold up as COVID-19 deepens | AMP Capital

  Four reasons why share markets can continue to hold up as COVID-19 deepens The news around the pandemic in past weeks has not been promising. New COVID-19 cases have shown early signs of stabilising over recent days, but it’s too soon to call a downtrend in new cases. The world’s largest economy remains under siege from COVID-19 as the virus begins to take hold in the Midwest and the Great Plains of the US. …

Econosights: Inflation in the COVID-19 world | AMP Capital

Econosights: Inflation in the COVID-19 world Key points The money supply across major economies has skyrocketed from central bank asset purchases (or quantitative easing), government stimulus payments and wages building up in bank deposits. There is some concern that the boom in money supply growth could lead to an inflation breakout. However, prior surges in the money supply have not always led to higher inflation. Central bank quantitative easing programs are a big driver of …