E – Insights Papers

Seven reasons why the trend in shares will likely remain up, albeit with bumps along the way | AMP Capital

Seven reasons why the trend in shares will likely remain up, albeit with bumps along the way Key points Shares have had a strong run up from their March lows with US shares now at a record high. While shares are vulnerable through the seasonally weak months ahead in the run up to the US election, the positives – including good progress in developing vaccines, the downtrend in the US dollar, signs of …

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Market Update 21 August 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 21 August 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week. US shares rose slightly but have been constrained around their February record high and Chinese shares rose but Eurozone and Japanese shares fell after strong gains in the previous week. Australian shares were little changed reflecting the mixed global lead along with bad but no worse than expected overall earnings results. Very strong …

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The twilight zone: Australian house prices falling but worse to come

The twilight zone: Australian house prices falling but worse to come Average property prices across Australia’s capital cities fell for the third month in a row in July. The monthly fall, of 0.8%, means capital city prices have fallen 2% on average since their peak in April 20201. AMP Capital chief economist and head of investment strategy Dr Shane Oliver says average property prices rose by 10.3% between June 2019 and April 2020, but …

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Market Update 14 August 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 14 August 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Major global share markets, with the exception of Chinese shares, rose over the last week as US new coronavirus cases trended down and on optimism regarding a vaccine and the economic outlook, with the US share market briefly surpassing its February closing high. The positive global lead along with a fall in new Victorian cases saw Australian shares rise to the …

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Three reasons why the Coronavirus crisis might fix Australia’s housing affordability crisis | AMP Capital

Three reasons why the Coronavirus crisis might fix Australia’s housing affordability crisis Key points For more than a decade now Australia has had a chronic problem with poor housing affordability. While various things may have played a role the key driver of poor affordability in Australia has been a surge in population growth and an inadequate housing supply response. The coronavirus hit to the economy is driving yet another cyclical downturn in property prices. But …

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Four reasons why share markets can continue to hold up as COVID-19 deepens | AMP Capital

Four reasons why share markets can continue to hold up as COVID-19 deepens The news around the pandemic in past weeks has not been promising. New COVID-19 cases have shown early signs of stabilising over recent days, but it’s too soon to call a downtrend in new cases. The world’s largest economy remains under siege from COVID-19 as the virus begins to take hold in the Midwest and the Great Plains of the US. …

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Market Update 07 August 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 07 August 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets generally rose over the last week helped by a combination of better than expected earnings in the US, good economic data and positive vaccine news. This saw the US share market push up to just 1% below its February high. The positive global lead offset the blow to the economic recovery from Melbourne’s stage 4 lockdown and saw Australian shares …

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What’s on the cards for Australia now that we have a second wave? | AMP Capital

What’s on the cards for Australia now that we have a second wave? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) had its August board meeting on Tuesday 4th, and though there were no real surprises, I think we can expect more out of the central bank in the coming months. In its meeting, the RBA made mention of the situation unfolding in Victoria, which is sadly seeing COVID-19 infect more people in the state now than …

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RBA holds – but more stimulus likely as Victorian lockdown to knock at least $12bn from national GDP | AMP Capital

RBA holds – but more stimulus likely as Victorian lockdown to knock at least $12bn from national GDP Key points Victoria’s tightening lockdown could knock at least $12bn off the Victorian and national economy and delay the return to positive Australian GDP growth to the December quarter. The further hit to the economy and likely additional upwards pressure on unemployment is increasing pressure for more policy stimulus. This is likely to see the federal budget …

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Market Update 31 July 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 31 July 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were mixed over the last week with Chinese shares up solidly and US shares rising slightly on the back of good earnings results, particularly for tech stocks, but Eurozone, Japanese and Australian shares fell on uncertainty regarding the economic outlook. Australian shares were dragged lower by sharp falls in energy, financial, health, property and utility stocks. Bond yields generally fell …