Oliver’s Insights – seasonal patterns in shares
This article looks at seasonal patterns in shares and whether its time to “sell in May and go away” along the lines of the old share market saying.
Tag: roughly
Shares climb a “wall of worry” – but is it sustainable? | AMP Capital
Shares climb a “wall of worry” – but is it sustainable? Key points The strong rally in shares since their March lows reflects a combination of economic reopening, signs of recovery, policy stimulus and once pessimistic investors closing underweight or short positions. Shares are vulnerable to a short-term consolidation or pullback. But if we are right, and April was the low in economic conditions, then shares are likely to be higher on a 6 to …
Oliver’s Insights – What signposts can we watch to be confident shares have bottomed?
Introduction After a roughly 35% plunge from their February high point to their lows around 23rd March, global and Australian shares have had a 15-20% rally. What’s more this rally has occurred despite increasingly bleak economic data ranging from plunges in business conditions surveys or PMIs (see the next chart) to a record 10 million surge over two weeks in claims for unemployment payments in the US. Volatility remains very high but at least we …