Review of 2021, outlook for 2022 – recovery to continue as we hopefully learn to live with covid | AMP Capital

Review of 2021, outlook for 2022 – recovery to continue as we hopefully learn to live with covid Key Points 2021 was again dominated by the coronavirus pandemic, along with concern about higher inflation and monetary tightening but shares, unlisted assets and balanced growth super funds saw strong returns. Continuing solid economic growth, rising profits and still easy monetary conditions should result in good overall investment returns in 2022, but they are likely to be …

Capitalising on the COVID-19 recovery | AMP Capital

Capitalising on the COVID-19 recovery Australia’s strong economic recovery has certainly been interrupted by lockdowns across the country, but despite this short-term pain, we believe the economic momentum following the re-opening will bode well for commercial real estate and those investors able to find value from both traditional and alternative real estate sectors. It may feel like a surprising statement with many still in lockdown and case numbers stubbornly high, but we believe the time …

Back in Style: Rapid COVID recovery a kick starter for the retail sector | AMP Capital

Back in Style: Rapid COVID recovery a kick starter for the retail sector While “rona” was selected by Macquarie Dictionary as 2020’s word of the year, “stir-crazy” would have made it onto many peoples’ shortlists. From closed borders to seating quotas, we have had to contend with various forms of restrictions since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Thankfully, cases in Australia have remained under control and life has started to return to normal with …

Market outlook Q&A – global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash, Aust house prices and other issues | AMP Capital

Market outlook Q&A – global recovery, vaccines, inflation, the risk of a share crash, Aust house prices and other issues   Key points Global recovery is on track. Vaccines are working. JobKeeper’s end won’t derail Australia’s recovery. Inflation could become an issue in the medium term. Shares are at risk of a correction but are supported by economic and earnings recovery. Australian house prices are booming again but expect measures to slow it down in …

Econosights: Outlook for the US economy in 2021

Econosights: Outlook for the US economy in 2021 Key points The US is due for a strong economic recovery in 2021, driven by a large injection of fiscal stimulus. US GDP should have recovered its 2020 COVID losses in the March quarter and be back to its pre-COVID trend level of GDP by end of the year. Fiscal stimulus could overheat the economy in late 2021/early 2022. Consumer inflation expectations are already at multi-year highs. …

The bond crash of 2021? Seven things for investors to consider

The bond crash of 2021? Seven things for investors to consider Key points Higher bond yields are normal in economic recovery and should not be a major problem for shares if they are matched by rising earnings. But too rapid a rise in bond yields risks driving a deeper correction in shares. Central banks want higher inflation but will look through any short-term spike. The 40-year downtrend in inflation and bond yields is likely over. …

Oliver’s Insights: Federal Budget 2020-21 overview

Oliver’s Insights: Federal Budget 2020-21 overview The 2020-21 Australian Budget – spend, spend, spend as the focus remains on recovery and jobs, jobs, jobs Key points The Government now expects the Federal budget deficit to peak at a record $213.7bn this financial year. That’s around 11% of GDP, its highest since the end of WW2. The risk is the deficit will be worse at around $230bn. Key measures include earlier tax cuts, massive tax breaks …

Four signs Aussie equity markets look set for a strong finish to 2020

Four signs Aussie equity markets look set for a strong finish to 2020   The government has signalled that business will be a driving force behind Australia’s recovery efforts, and we think this will be good news for domestic shares as we charge towards 2021. This year has been wild for share markets globally, but the world is learning how to cope with COVID-19 and business is learning how to manage through. Though nothing is …

Four take-aways from the RBA’s October meeting

Four take-aways from the RBA’s October meeting The RBA held its October board meeting today. Though there wasn’t as much movement as we expected, there were four key take-aways: 1. The RBA left the cash rate on hold The RBA left the cash rate on hold at 0.25% for the seventh month in a row. With the RBA recently explicitly stating that its forecast outlook for inflation and employment is not consistent with its objectives …

Market Update 3 April 2020 | AMP Capital

Market Update 3 April 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Coronavirus concerns continued to create volatility in investment markets over the past week, but the good news is that it remains both up and down volatility on a day to day basis as opposed to straight down as was the case up until a couple of weeks ago. US, European and Japanese shares gave up some of their gains from the previous …