Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices | AMP Capital

Another energy shock and the threat from higher petrol prices Key Points Oil prices have spiked on the anticipation and now reality of restrictions on Russian oil supply from the war in Ukraine. This is driving a sharp rise in petrol prices which will hit household spending power. Fortunately, there is an offset in Australia from the boost to national income from higher energy prices and commodity prices generally and scope for the Federal Government …

Econosights: Inflation risks: implications from Russia/Ukraine war and the floods | AMP Capital

Econosights: Inflation risks: implications from Russia/Ukraine war and the floods Key points The Russia/Ukraine war is causing a big rise across many commodity prices including gas, oil, iron ore, coal and wheat. This will flow through to consumer prices. Flooding across the east coast of Australia will also put upward pressure on fruit and vegetable prices. We have revised our inflation forecasts higher to account for these impacts. We expect headline inflation to be just …

Investment outlook Q&A – inflation, interest rates, Russia & Ukraine, the risk of a share crash, house prices and other issues | AMP Capital

Investment outlook Q&A – inflation, interest rates, Russia & Ukraine, the risk of a share crash, house prices and other issues Key Points Inflation will likely slow later this year but remain well above pre-pandemic levels over the medium term. Wages growth is likely to pick up to 3% this year. A Russian invasion of Ukraine risks a short term hit to shares followed by recovery over the next 3 to 12 mths. Australian home …

Oliver’s Insights – Five Reasons To Expect A Cooling In The Australian Property Market And Falling Prices In 2023

Five reasons to expect a cooling in the Australian property market and falling prices in 2023   Key Points After a 22% rise in Australian home prices this year, they are expected to slow to 5% growth in 2022 with prices likely to fall 5-10% in 2023. The main drivers behind the slowdown are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; & a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risks on …

Five reasons to expect a cooling in the Australian property market and falling prices in 2023 | AMP Capital

Five reasons to expect a cooling in the Australian property market and falling prices in 2023 Key Points After a 22% rise in Australian home prices this year, they are expected to slow to 5% growth in 2022 with prices likely to fall 5-10% in 2023. The main drivers behind the slowdown are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; & a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risks on the …

Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end | AMP Capital

Three reasons why the long-term bull market in Australian house prices may be getting close to the end Key points Australian home prices are currently in a cyclical upswing which likely has further to go into 2022. However, the longer-term bull market, that has seen above trend growth in property prices since the mid-1990s, may be close to an end as the long-term decline in interest rates bottoms out, property undersupply swings towards oversupply & …

Australian house prices on the upswing again – seven things to bear in mind about the Australian property market

  Australian house prices on the upswing again – seven things to bear in mind about the Australian property market   Key points Expect average Australian home prices to rise 5-10% this year and next as ultra-low interest rates and economic recovery feed through. However, the outlook is divergent – with houses expected to outperform units and smaller cities and regional property expected to play catch up. The drivers of the long-term property bull market …

The twilight zone: Australian house prices falling but worse to come

  The twilight zone: Australian house prices falling but worse to come Average property prices across Australia’s capital cities fell for the third month in a row in July. The monthly fall, of 0.8%, means capital city prices have fallen 2% on average since their peak in April 20201. AMP Capital chief economist and head of investment strategy Dr Shane Oliver says average property prices rose by 10.3% between June 2019 and April 2020, but …

After the Bell: daily market update, April 30 | AMP Capital

  ECONOMICS & MARKETS After the Bell: daily market update, April 30 30 Apr, 2020 Big day in markets following a strong lead in from the US overnight, but oil prices continue to go wild. Senior economist Diana Mousina explains the day that was in markets, and what’s fuelling the current dynamics in oil markets worldwide. Important information While every care has been taken in the preparation of this video, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN …

Are young families the most vulnerable as house prices head lower?

Are young families the most vulnerable as house prices head lower? The long-term rise in Australian home prices has led to a huge inter-generational transfer of wealth from the young to the old. A material reversal in property values will go some way to unwinding this, creating winners and losers amongst the generations. Australia has long had a love affair with home ownership, which is illustrated by the strong growth in residential prices over the …