Global – Page 5

Econosights: The RBA, the neutral interest rate and how many hikes to expect | AMP Capital

Econosights: The RBA, the neutral interest rate and how many hikes to expect Key points Inflation is running hot around the world, driven by strong goods demand, global shipping and supply issues and high commodity prices. Higher than expected inflation in Australia will see the RBA lifting interest rates to at least 1% by Dec-2022 and 1.5% in the first half of 2023. A fall in inflation in 2023 from an easing in supply pressures …

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Market Update 8 April 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 8 April 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Global share markets fell over the last week mainly on the back of hawkish central banks and ever rising bond yields. Australian shares also fell slightly with strength in utilities and energy stocks offset by weakness in retailers, IT and materials. Bond yields rose sharply, and oil, metal and iron ore prices fell. While the $A briefly made it above $US0.76 it …

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Market Update 1 April 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 1 April 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week It was a mixed week for markets in terms of the economic data and news flow. US equities started the week strong, but are still down by 0.3% over the week (and ~6% below January highs), European shares had a good rebound up by 0.9% (but are still 11% below January levels), Japanese shares were 1.8% lower, Chinese shares continued to …

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Oliver’s Insights – Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better?

Oliver’s Insights – Five big picture implications of the war in Ukraine of relevance for investors – and why are Australian shares holding up better? Key points The situation regarding Ukraine is at high risk of getting worse before it gets better for investment markets. The key is how much Russian energy exports are disrupted & whether NATO forces avoid the conflict. Five big picture implications are likely to be: increased geopolitical tensions; reduced globalisation; …

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Market Update 18 March 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 18 March 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw share markets rebound helped by optimism about a peace deal in Ukraine, a fall back in oil prices, relief that the Fed’s first rate hike was broadly as expected with the Fed seeing the US economy as strong and indications that China will provide more policy stimulus partly to combat covid related lockdowns. This saw strong gains in …

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Econosights: Europe recession risks– implications from the war in Ukraine | AMP Capital

Econosights: Europe recession risks– implications from the war in Ukraine Key points Eurozone inflation is likely to be well over 6% per annum by mid-year from high commodity prices lifting electricity, gas and petrol costs. This will hit consumer spending. Risks of a Eurozone recession in the first half of 2022 are high. The US should avoid recession for now. The ECB appears too optimistic on the growth outlook despite the conflict in Ukraine which …

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Market Update 11 March 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 11 March 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The past week saw a further escalation in sanctions over the war in Ukraine with now energy being targeted resulting in another surge in oil prices and leg down in global share prices before a relief rally kicked in on hopes for a peace deal and increased OPEC production only to see share markets fall again. The gyrations left US, Japanese and …

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Market Update 4 March 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 4 March 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Uncertainty over the war in Ukraine resulted in another volatile week in investment markets as investors worried about the worsening conflict and disruptions to energy supply following the intensification of western sanctions on Russia. Reports of a fire at a Ukrainian nuclear power plant as a result of Russian shelling and the associated risk of a nuclear catastrophe added to the uncertainty. …

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Market Update 25 February 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 25 February 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets were hit over the last week as Ukraine tensions escalated and then Russia invaded Ukraine. Although Russia has indicated it does not plan to occupy Ukraine it has indicated that its attack is aimed at its “demilitarization and denazification.” While US shares saw a small bounce on Wednesday on hopes that a worsening of the energy crisis would be …

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Market Update 18 February 2022 | AMP Capital

Market Update 18 February 2022 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Share markets have seen another volatile week being buffeted by waxing and waning fears of Russia invading Ukraine and fears of inflation and interest rate hikes. This left US, European and Japanese share markets down. Solid profit results helped protect the Australian share market, which was up slightly for the week, with gains in health, property and consumer staple shares offsetting falls …