Inflation in the 70s – baby boomer fantasy or nightmare? Why central banks must focus on getting inflation back down | AMP Capital

Inflation in the 70s – baby boomer fantasy or nightmare? Why central banks must focus on getting inflation back down   Key points The high inflation of the 1970s was bad for economies and bad for investment returns. The long-term downtrend in inflation and interest rates is likely over removing a tailwind for investment returns. But a return to sustained 1970’s levels of inflation appears unlikely. Introduction I grew up in the 1970s and it …

Five ways to turn down the noise and stay focused as an investor | AMP Capital

Five ways to turn down the noise and stay focused as an investor   Key points A surge in financial information and opinion along with our natural inclination to focus on bad news is arguably making us worse investors: more fearful & short term. Five ways to help manage the noise and stay focussed as investors are: put the latest worry list in context; recognise that shares return more than cash in the long term …

Oliver’s Insights: Federal Budget 2020-21 overview

Oliver’s Insights: Federal Budget 2020-21 overview The 2020-21 Australian Budget – spend, spend, spend as the focus remains on recovery and jobs, jobs, jobs Key points The Government now expects the Federal budget deficit to peak at a record $213.7bn this financial year. That’s around 11% of GDP, its highest since the end of WW2. The risk is the deficit will be worse at around $230bn. Key measures include earlier tax cuts, massive tax breaks …

2019-20 saw poor returns – but it could have been much worse | AMP Capital

2019-20 saw poor returns – but it could have been much worse Key points 2019-20 saw a rough ride for investors as coronavirus hit resulting in small losses for well diversified investors. Key lessons for investors from the last financial year were to: maintain a well-diversified portfolio; timing market moves is hard; beware the crowd; turn down the noise; and don’t fight the Fed. With coronavirus risks still high, investment markets may see more short-term …

The US presidential election – implications for investors | AMP Capital

The US presidential election – implications for investors Key points The run up to the US election on 3rd November has the potential to see increased share market volatility if it looks increasingly likely Biden will win and if Trump ramps up tensions with China (and maybe Europe) in response. However, this is likely to be short lived as there is no reason to expect a weaker economy and hence share market under a Biden …

Light at the end of the coronavirus tunnel – what does it mean for investors? | AMP Capital

Light at the end of the coronavirus tunnel – what does it mean for investors? Key points After a strong rally, in the short-term shares are vulnerable to bleak economic and earnings news. However, positive news on the coronavirus outbreak is starting to get the upper hand – with evidence of curve flattening, an easing in lockdowns and massive policy stimulus pointing to a possible return to growth in the second half, which should ultimately …