Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on in assessing the investment outlook Key points While we are optimistic on a 12-month horizon, shares are at high risk of further falls and a re-test of their June lows in the short term given hawkish central banks, heightened recession risks and geopolitical risks. Seven key global charts worth keeping an eye on by investors are: global business conditions PMIs; US inflation and our …
Home price falls accelerated in August – three reasons why this property downturn will likely be different Key points Australian home prices fell another 1.6% in August and are now down by 3.5% from their high. Rising mortgage rates are the main driver and there is likely more to go. We continue to expect a 15-20% top to bottom fall in home prices out to the second half of next year, followed by a …
The falls in share markets this year – the bad news and the good Key points Share markets remain under pressure from high inflation, rising interest rates and bond yields, the war in Ukraine and Chinese Covid lockdowns. It’s still too early to say markets have bottomed. However, it’s not all negative: we may have seen peak inflation in the US, share market earnings are still rising, Covid cases in China appear to be slowing …
Oliver’s Insights – Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind Key points Share markets have fallen in recent weeks on the back of worries about inflation, monetary tightening, the Omicron disruption and the rising risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. it’s too early to say markets have bottomed. Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are healthy and normal; in the absence of a renewed …
Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind Key Points Share markets have fallen in recent weeks on the back of worries about inflation, monetary tightening, the Omicron disruption and the rising risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. Its too early to say markets have bottomed. Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are healthy and normal; in the absence of a renewed recession share market …
Market Update 11 September 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week The equity market correction that started last week, driven by falls in tech stocks, has continued, and has now broadened out to other sectors. US shares are down by 2.6% and the tech-heavy NASDAQ is down by a larger 4% over the week. But, all sectors in the S&P500 fell over the week and energy was down heavily as the oil …
The twilight zone: Australian house prices falling but worse to come Average property prices across Australia’s capital cities fell for the third month in a row in July. The monthly fall, of 0.8%, means capital city prices have fallen 2% on average since their peak in April 20201. AMP Capital chief economist and head of investment strategy Dr Shane Oliver says average property prices rose by 10.3% between June 2019 and April 2020, but …
Market Update 01 May 2020 Investment markets and key developments over the past week Despite sharp falls late in the week, share markets rose over the past week as whole as news of an easing in lockdowns continued. While the Australian share market pulled back sharply on Friday led by material and property stocks, it still saw a solid gain for the week as energy, IT and consumer discretionary stocks soared. The pullback late in the …
Econosights: The impact of Covid-19 on the Australian labour market Key points Most industries are feeling some negative impact from the coronavirus disruption via reduced employee hours, wage cuts, stood down workers or permanent staff reductions. On our estimates, around 41% of jobs are at a high risk of lower work hours, being stood down or terminated. However, the Federal Government’s well designed JobKeeper wage subsidy scheme should see most of these employees kept in …
