The Australian economy 2019 – house prices, growth and interest rates

The Australian economy 2019 – house prices, growth and interest rates   Key points Australian growth has slowed again. The housing cycle downturn and its impact on the economy will likely see growth constrained to around 2.5-3%.   LAs a result, spare capacity is likely to remain significant, keeping wages growth and inflation low.   The RBA is likely to cut rates in 2019 and the housing downturn will likely see Australian shares continue to …

Outlook for the Australian economy

Outlook for the Australian economy   Investors might have noted some recent positives in the Australian economy. June quarter GDP growth of 3.4% was above potential and its fastest rate since 2012. We have also seen pretty good jobs numbers, with the unemployment rate trending down and sitting at a six-year low of 5.3%. And job ads, job vacancies and employment surveys have also been solid. (While job vacancies growth slowed to 0.6% in the …

Five things you need to know about the Australian economy

Five things you need to know about the Australian economy Key points The Australian economy grew solidly over the last year.   While recession remains very unlikely, the combination of a slowing housing cycle, constraints on consumer spending and still subdued business investment will likely see growth slow going forward to around 2.5-3%.   As a result, spare capacity is likely to remain significant, keeping wages growth and inflation low.   We don’t expect the …

The Australian economy – five reasons growth will continue but unlikely to be enough to justify rate

The Australian economy – five reasons growth will continue but unlikely to be enough to justify rate Key points The Australian economy grew 2.4% through 2017, good but well below potential given high population growth. There is good reason to expect growth to continue and pick up a bit: the drag from falling mining investment is nearly over, non-mining investment is turning up, public investment is strong, trade should add to growth and profits are …