Insights: Why the need to lift productivity – and why it might be hard

Why the need to lift productivity Download PDF version Insights: Why the need to lift productivity – and why it might be hard Dr Shane Oliver – Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, AMP Key points – The last 20 years have seen a slump in productivity growth in Australia from over 2% pa to less than 1% pa. This has curtailed growth in living standards and real wages. It will adversely affect asset class returns …

Oliver’s insights – goldilocks versus recession

Recession versus “goldilocks” – five reasons why we could still avoid
recession

Weekly market update 11-08-2023

This week Dr Shane Oliver discusses how shares remain at risk of a correction; the good news on US inflation continued; RBA Gov Lowe retains softened tightening bias & right to caution regarding the new Board; the rapidly slowing Australian consuner spendingr; and more.

Econosights – financial literacy gender gap

More than one third of adults in Australia are financially illiterate, with opportunities for improvement. There is also a gender gap in financial literacy in Australia. Women tend to have lower financial literacy than men. In Australia, the gender gap is larger compared to our global peers.

Weekly market update 04-08-2023

Senior Economist Diana Mousina discusses how global shares have had a pull-back after weeks of strong gains as higher yields and US ratings downgrade sour risk sentiment, RBA growth and the little change in inflation forecasts.

Oliver’s insights – leading and lagging indicators

This article takes a look at the currently confusing economic landscape with some indicators being very strong and others very weak.

Weekly market update 28-07-2023

Fed & ECB at/near the top; BoJ tweaks yield control; Aust inflation falling too; RBA to hold after lower inflation & retail sales but its a close call; and more.

The confusing economic picture

The confusing economic picture – why you need to know the difference between leading and lagging economic indicators Dr Shane Oliver – Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist, AMP Download PDF version Key points For nearly 30 years Australia had benign economic cycles so the current environment may be a bit of a shock for many. Still low unemployment and still high inflation despite slowing economic growth are not that unusual because they both normally lag …

Informed June 2023

June 2023 Download PDF version Market update The table below provides details of the movement in average investment returns from various asset classes for the period up to 31 May 2023. Asset class (% change) 1 month 3 months 1 year 3 years (% pa) Australian shares -2.5 -0.9 2.9 11.4 Smaller companies -3.3 -1.3 -5.8 4.5 International shares (unhedged) 1.2 8.4 13.4 11.9 International shares (hedged) -0.2 4.0 3.2 11.7 Emerging markets (unhedged) 0.4 4.4 …

Weekly market update 21-07-2023

More falls in inflation; implications of Russia’s move to end the Ukraine grain export deal; why RBA targeting “involuntary unemployment” won’t work; why the RBA must tread carefully on jobs; and more.