Oliver’s insights – Australian recession Q&A

Recession has been a recurring theme over the last year or so but has intensified lately. But what’s driving it? How serious is the risk of recession? And what would it mean for Australians and investors?

Weekly market update 23-06-2023

Shares still at risk of a correction; central banks signalling more work to do; and high recession risk in Australia.

Informed June 2023 Market Update

June 2023 Market update The table below provides details of the movement in average investment returns from various asset classes for the period up to 31 May 2023. Asset class (% change) 1 month 3 months 1 year 3 years (% pa) Australian shares -2.5 -0.9 2.9 11.4 Smaller companies -3.3 -1.3 -5.8 4.5 International shares (unhedged) 1.2 8.4 13.4 11.9 International shares (hedged) -0.2 4.0 3.2 11.7 Emerging markets (unhedged) 0.4 4.4 1.4 4.4 Property …

Oliver’s insights – home ownership

This note looks at the decline in Australia’s home ownership rate since the mid-1960s and what has driven it.

Econosights – the AI threat

The release of ChatGPT in late 2022 is renewing concerns around machines taking over human jobs. We look at the potential impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on the global economy in this Econosights.

Weekly market update 12-05-2023

Over the week, US and Aus sharemakets were flat; Aus Fed Budget will not add to inflation; US CPI moving in the right direction; and more.

Econosights – US debt ceiling

Issues around the US debt ceiling have started to make headlines again. In this Econosights we look at what the US debt ceiling is, the history of it, the current issues around the debt ceiling and the implications for markets.

Econosights – inflation trends

The anticipated fall in inflation is occurring across the advanced world, thanks to a decline in commodity prices and slowing in goods inflation. But, sticky services inflation is keeping the overall rate of inflation elevated and well above central bank inflation targets.

Oliver’s insights – house price outlook

Australian home prices rose again in April & along with other indicators suggest the home price downturn is over, but we must now watch rates and unemployment