Episode #98: Australian home prices up on supply shortfall, but at risk from high rates The last three major cyclical upswings in home prices have required lower interest rates to be sustained. With rate cuts still a long way away, AMP’s Chief Economist Shane Oliver looks at why the risk of another leg down in prices is high next year, particularly if unemployment rises significantly, and the key indicators to watch in the months ahead. …
Doing a budget helps you see where your money is going. It can help you feel confident and in control of your finances. 💰💯 Use Moneysmart’s budget planner to make your budget. Learn more: https://moneysmart.gov.au/budgeting/how-to-do-a-budget Original Author: Produced by Moneysmart and published on 13/11/2023
Download PDF version Five constraints on medium term investment returns Key points – Five megatrends suggest higher medium term inflation pressures & lower economic growth than pre-pandemic. – These are: a move away from economic rationalist policies; the reversal of globalisation; rising geopolitical tensions; climate change and decarbonisation; as well as slowing and aging populations. A productivity boost from artificial intelligence should provide some partial offset though. – But taken together this will likely …
Smart investors plan, research and understand their investments, and how they fit with their financial goals. Don’t get burnt by hype. Invest in facts. Start with Moneysmart. Visit https://moneysmart.gov.au/investment-warnings Original Author: Produced by Moneysmart and published on 30/10/2023 Source
Episode #97: Five constraints on medium term investment returns In the 1980s and 90s superannuation investment returns were very strong. But since 1999, nominal superannuation returns have been more constrained averaging 6.2% pa as we entered a lower return world. Five key structural trends suggest higher medium term inflation pressures and constrained economic growth than pre-pandemic. AMP’s Chief Economist, Dr. Shane Oliver looks at why this is happening as well as the implications investment returns. …
Download PDF version The threat of higher oil and petrol prices flowing from the war in Israel Key points – The war in Israel has added to the upside risks to oil prices and downside risks to shares in the near term. – If Iran stays out of the conflict & a major supply disruption is avoided the impact on shares should ultimately be minimal. – If alternatively, oil prices do have a renewed surge …
Episode #95: The threat from higher oil and petrol prices Posing many humanitarian consequences, the war between Israel and Hamas could further lead to a surge in oil prices that will add to inflation, keep interest rates higher for longer and add to the risk of recession. AMP’s head of investment strategy and chief economist Dr. Shane Oliver looks at the implications for investors as well as the impact of higher oil prices on the …
