January 2022

Oliver’s Insights – Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind

Oliver’s Insights – Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind Key points Share markets have fallen in recent weeks on the back of worries about inflation, monetary tightening, the Omicron disruption and the rising risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. it’s too early to say markets have bottomed. Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are healthy and normal; in the absence of a renewed …

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Market Update 28 January | AMP Capital

Market Update 28 January Investment markets & key developments Global share markets saw another rough week as concerns about inflation and monetary tightening intensified against the backdrop of ongoing Russian tensions over Ukraine and Omicron disruptions. However, there was a decent bounce in Australian and Japanese shares at the end of the week from oversold conditions helped by an Apple earnings beat. From their highs to their lows US and Australian shares have now had 10% …

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6 things to know about buy now pay later services

6 things to know about buy now pay later services Nearly 85% of financial counsellors in Australia have reported that half, most or all their clients now have some form of buy now pay later debt. Often branded the modern-day layby, buy now pay later services essentially offer the same thing, but you get the product (which could be anything from a new outfit, pub dinner or airline ticket) upfront. Below we explain what you …

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Econosights: Impacts to Australia from Chinese trade restrictions | AMP Capital

Econosights: Impacts to Australia from Chinese trade restrictions Key points The total value of Australian exports to China impacted by trade disputes (which started in 2019) is $23bn (4.5% of total exports or 1% of GDP). The impact to the Australian economy from Chinese trade bans has been mild because the value of affected exports is low and as most sectors have been able to find alternative export markets. Coal, beef, copper ore, cotton, …

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Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind | AMP Capital

Share market falls – seven things for investors to keep in mind Key Points Share markets have fallen in recent weeks on the back of worries about inflation, monetary tightening, the Omicron disruption and the rising risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. Its too early to say markets have bottomed. Key things for investors to bear in mind are that: corrections are healthy and normal; in the absence of a renewed recession share market …

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Market Update 21 January | AMP Capital

Market Update 21 January Source: Bloomberg, FXStreet, AMP Investment markets & key developments Global share markets remained under pressure over the past week on the back of concerns about rising inflation, monetary tightening, Omicron and tensions with Russia over Ukraine. The negative global lead and talk of higher interest rates in Australia also pushed Australian shares down with falls led by health, IT, Telco and financial stocks. Long term bond yields rose initially but their increase …

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2022 – a list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook | AMP Capital

2022 – a list of lists regarding the macro investment outlook Key Points 2021 saw strong investment returns with low volatility. 2022 is likely to see more constrained returns with increased volatility. Watch: coronavirus and vaccines; inflation; the US mid-term elections; China issues; Russian tensions with Ukraine and the west; & the Australian election. Introduction Despite a wall of worry with coronavirus and inflation, 2021 was a great year for diversified investors, with average balanced …

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Oliver’s Insights – Five Reasons To Expect A Cooling In The Australian Property Market And Falling Prices In 2023

Five reasons to expect a cooling in the Australian property market and falling prices in 2023 Key Points After a 22% rise in Australian home prices this year, they are expected to slow to 5% growth in 2022 with prices likely to fall 5-10% in 2023. The main drivers behind the slowdown are: worsening affordability; rising supply; rising rates; macro prudential tightening; & a rotation in spending away from housing. The main risks on …

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Oliver’s Insights – The longer-term legacy of coronavirus – nine implications for investors

The longer-term legacy of coronavirus – nine implications for investors Key points Likely key longer-term implications flowing from the coronavirus pandemic are: bigger government; increased money supply and excess saving; increased geopolitical tensions; reduced globalisation; a faster embrace of technology; a greater focus on lifestyle; and a potential post-pandemic boom. The biggest risk is of significantly higher inflation, reversing the long-term downtrend in interest rates. Introduction The magnitude of the coronavirus shock means it will …

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Inflation Q&A – how worried should investors be about higher inflation? | AMP Capital

Inflation Q&A – how worried should investors be about higher inflation? Key Points Inflation is placing increasing pressure on major central banks to remove monetary stimulus. Inflation & rising interest rates will likely contribute to more volatile & constrained investment returns this year. The long-term downtrend in inflation and interest rates since the early 1980s is likely to be over removing a tailwind for investment returns. Introduction For last few decades inflation has not …